Predicting a Post-Pandemic Future: Remote Working and Distance Learning? (politico.com) 165
This week Politico published predictions from 34 "big thinkers" about what the future will be like after the coronavirus pandemic. (An associate professor of government and politics at the University of Maryland argues that "The Reagan era is over. The widely accepted idea that government is inherently bad won't persist after coronavirus.")
Others predict a future with voting from mobile devices (and possibly higher voter turnout), and one author even predicts a society that accepts "restraints on mass consumer culture as a reasonable price to pay to defend ourselves against future contagions and climate disasters alike."
But several also predict the rise of telemedicine, including the editor-in-chief of Reason, who also argues that the epidemic "will sweep away many of the artificial barriers to moving more of our lives online." The resistance -- led by teachers' unions and the politicians beholden to them -- to allowing partial homeschooling or online learning for K-12 kids has been swept away by necessity. It will be near-impossible to put that genie back in the bottle in the fall, with many families finding that they prefer full or partial homeschooling or online homework. For many college students, returning to an expensive dorm room on a depopulated campus will not be appealing, forcing massive changes in a sector that has been ripe for innovation for a long time.
And while not every job can be done remotely, many people are learning that the difference between having to put on a tie and commute for an hour or working efficiently at home was always just the ability to download one or two apps plus permission from their boss. Once companies sort out their remote work dance steps, it will be harder -- and more expensive -- to deny employees those options. In other words, it turns out, an awful lot of meetings (and doctors' appointments and classes) really could have been an email. And now they will be.
Not everyone agrees. Author Sonia Shah argues that "The hype around online education will be abandoned, as a generation of young people forced into seclusion will reshape the culture around a contrarian appreciation for communal life."
But the president of Vassar College even wonders if the pandemic will be a boon to virtual reality, hoping for a program that helps self-isolated people socialize. "Imagine putting on glasses, and suddenly you are in a classroom or another communal setting, or even a positive psychology intervention."
Others predict a future with voting from mobile devices (and possibly higher voter turnout), and one author even predicts a society that accepts "restraints on mass consumer culture as a reasonable price to pay to defend ourselves against future contagions and climate disasters alike."
But several also predict the rise of telemedicine, including the editor-in-chief of Reason, who also argues that the epidemic "will sweep away many of the artificial barriers to moving more of our lives online." The resistance -- led by teachers' unions and the politicians beholden to them -- to allowing partial homeschooling or online learning for K-12 kids has been swept away by necessity. It will be near-impossible to put that genie back in the bottle in the fall, with many families finding that they prefer full or partial homeschooling or online homework. For many college students, returning to an expensive dorm room on a depopulated campus will not be appealing, forcing massive changes in a sector that has been ripe for innovation for a long time.
And while not every job can be done remotely, many people are learning that the difference between having to put on a tie and commute for an hour or working efficiently at home was always just the ability to download one or two apps plus permission from their boss. Once companies sort out their remote work dance steps, it will be harder -- and more expensive -- to deny employees those options. In other words, it turns out, an awful lot of meetings (and doctors' appointments and classes) really could have been an email. And now they will be.
Not everyone agrees. Author Sonia Shah argues that "The hype around online education will be abandoned, as a generation of young people forced into seclusion will reshape the culture around a contrarian appreciation for communal life."
But the president of Vassar College even wonders if the pandemic will be a boon to virtual reality, hoping for a program that helps self-isolated people socialize. "Imagine putting on glasses, and suddenly you are in a classroom or another communal setting, or even a positive psychology intervention."
A friendly reminder (Score:5, Insightful)
It's worth remembering that these sorts of "predictions by big thinkers" have median accuracy of zero.
Re:A friendly reminder (Score:5, Interesting)
Actually quite a few predictions do come true, most of them just seem unremarkable in retrospect. A few of them are famous -- Jules Verne's prediction of submarines (although his understanding of electric motors was backwards even for his time). He also predicted radio news broadcasts.
H.G. Wells predicted aerial bombing of cities in 1907, and submarine launched weapons of mass destruction in 1933.
Video calling was a perennial prediction, like a flying car, which illustrates the biggest pitfall of tech prognostication -- timing.
In 1780s the President of Yale predicted, based on his analysis of the population history of Europe, that the United States would have a population of 300 million in about two hundred years; he was only about 25 years off.
Alex de Tocqueville predicted 1838 that world politics would come to be dominated by contention between the United States and Russia.
Now there's a significant element of luck here, as in Ezra Styles being approximately right even though he could not possibly have anticipated the territorial expansion of the United States. A number of economists predicted the 2008 crash, but at any given time there's bound to be some economist predicting doom. Still, it's certainly not correct to say that futurists are *never* right. Just by chance they're bound to get it right some of the time.
Re:A friendly reminder (Score:5, Informative)
My favorite is E.M. Forster's "The Machine Stops"... predicted the internet, online learning, and even social distancing back in 1909.
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Agreed: the present social distancing, and the use of telecommunication to overcome the psychological aspects of the resulting isolation, seems uncannily like a precursor to the situation described in that story.
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Napoleon financed an attempted submarine decades before Verne wrote 20,000 Leagues.
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For example, the average number of deaths per day in Italy is 1,772. The number of deaths "from the virus" yesterday is 651. How many of those deaths in the "virus-related" column in the ledger were simply moved over from the "normal" column"?
Are you a complete retard?
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Hospitals in northern Italy are at capacity. Many patients who had treatable kidney failure who wouldn't have died are now likely to die. Heart attacks that would have been survivable are now fatal. Screening for cancer at early treatable stages is now non-existent and will drive up that death rate for a couple years. Small bacterial infections are more likely to become big infections with complications. All this among the COVID-19 negative population. I suspect the impact of COVID-19 on mortality won't be
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Zero! It's not true, but the announced it, their citizens believed it.
And they announce today 46 new cases and 6 new deaths.
You must be a paid troll ... or a moron, or both.
Now get the hell back to work.
They are not going back to work, as they still have 5500 active cases and the cities are still under lockdown.
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You're comparing the average death rate in all of Italy to the Coronavirus death rate in Lombardy and other northern regions where the virus became endemic. Yesterday the number was actually 793 deaths, mostly in the northern area, which is about 1/6 of Italy's population-- and therefore by your numbers you'd expect 300 deaths or so. You're also ignoring the hospitalization rate, which is much higher than the death rate. (Recovery from a serious case--15% of which are-- can take 4-6 weeks.) And once the hos
Re: A friendly reminder (Score:4, Informative)
SARS-CoV-2 (the designation for the most recent virus we're all talking about) is no longer properly referred to as the SARS-nCoV (the "novel" corornavirus). Novel is the designation before it's been classified.
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As I said, we won't know the full impact for weeks or months, or maybe years. But as an indicator, the Obituaries section of the local papers in northern Italy are roughly 10x bigger than normal. Does a pneumonia death in an otherwise very sick COVID-19 patient get 100% attributed to COVID-19? And does a heart attack or stroke that would have been easily survivable, but due to hospital overcrowding leads to death count as a COVID-19 caused death? In the end, dead is dead, and the rates are several times hig
It is important to understand the background facts (Score:2)
Quote from the parent comment:
Average number of deaths per day in the United States: " In 2017, an average of 7,708 deaths o [cdc.gov]
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What if--just what if--the predicted pandemic simply doesn't come off?
Too late.
The death rates even in the epicenters never reached the average daily death rate in those areas, and those average death rates, though easily Googled, are never mentioned in any of the nightmarish reports about the ventilator rationing that might one day happen (but isn't yet happening) in those areas.
Death rate reach one person per minute last night.
For example, the average number of deaths per day in Italy is 1,772. The number of deaths "from the virus" yesterday is 651.
Indeed, it appears that the propagation of the virus is being expressed by the Euler-Mascheroni constant [wikipedia.org] or (e) about every 8 days.
I posted on the 18th, using Australia as an example [slashdot.org] when referencing the timeline of confirmed cases [wikipedia.org] are close to the first estimate.
How many of those deaths in the "virus-related" column in the ledger were simply moved over from the "normal" column"? All of them? None? In Lombardy, where the virus is endemic, every patient in any hospital will test positive for it, whether or not is has made them ill. And if they die, they go in the virus column.
That won't change the propagation.
The Chinese government had a tool at their disposal: control over the press. They had a problem: citizens panicking over the average death rate being recorded in the wrong column. They used the tool at their disposal. "Since you can't control yourselves when the infection rate is non-zero, then fine. It's zero. Now get the hell back to work."
The Chinese government were welding doors of apartment buildings closed according to some westerners trapped there sending video to the press.
A year from now, if there's a referendum in which I'm permitted to vote for draconian governmental regulation of the news, I will run to the polls to kill the viciously stupid institution known as "freedom of the press."
if--the pr
Re: A friendly reminder (Score:2)
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I'm not sure this is the best way to introduce people to stay at home work anyway, if the goal is to make them like it. Kids at home providing distractions, added stress from the pandemic, both spouses at home in a house with only enough room for one "office", significant disruption at work from supply chain and financial issues, etc. If there was a great way to give most of the workforce a negative feeling towards working from home, this would be it.
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I'm not sure this is the best way to introduce people to stay at home work anyway....
Where I work, this is the ONLY way to convince the bosses to let us work from home. It took the threat of all of us dying before they activated the second brain cell that said, "maybe letting them work from home wouldn't cause the collapse of civilization as we know it." And even with our lives at risk, they had to debate it.
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I have to homeschool the last week while working from home at the same time. This is VERY demanding, and i am happy to send my kids back in the capable hands of their professional teachers who do the work in a few weeks.
I get more of an appreciation for teachers (and my mom), not less.
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"Ergo a skeptical observer of current events might ask himself: Why are they really pushing all of this social isolation on us?!?!?!?!? "
Well....
"The Trump administration issued a Major Disaster Declaration for the state of New York meaning it is now eligible for Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) aid as it battles a growing coronavirus crisis."
"In hospitals around the state, health workers warned that the surge in cases they had been expecting had arrived and ventilators were already starting to ru
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PRO-TIP: Just as the elites do not allow their children to have vaccines [cf Bill Gates], neither do the elites allow their children access to 24x7 always on internet noise & distraction & seduction & addiction [cf Steve Jobs].
PRO-REALITY: By definition the "elite" can buy their own islands and skip all the drama we have. So why are we even using them as examples?
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You forgot to interpret everything through a Charles Manson race war lens. White people aren't reproducing as much as brown and black people, so white people will be vanquished in the race war. That's what people mean when they complain our low fertility is dooming us.
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Nah, the JIDF has way too many mod points to spare.
I'm just trying to fight the good fight for any wake-able Brotherz out there on teh innert00bz.
The more Brotherz who climb down from that fence-sitting lifestyle, place their feet firmly on the terra firma of Reality [as it actually exists], swallow [& digest] the Red Pill, and become Woke, the better off we merry Band of Brotherz will be.
Stay healthy, my Brother, stay healthy.
An
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The more Brotherz who climb down from that fence-sitting lifestyle, place their feet firmly on the terra firma of Reality [as it actually exists], swallow [& digest] the Red Pill, and become Woke, the better off we merry Band of Brotherz will be.
I think you have to have well and truly swallowed it, absorbed its ramifications, prepared yourself mentally and then place your feet on terra firma, you don't want those same brothers making hasty choices. More than one brother has died that way.
Besides, there is another level below that, manifestations of mental health issues in both sexes. Betas, gammas can still take out a a blue pilled alpha or a sigma so you can't be naive about what will happen when your eyes finally open. Just make sure you look
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Literally everything you said is hogwash.
Re:TOTAL FERTILITY RATES (Score:4, Informative)
The claim that Bill Gates is antiviax comes from one fishy website and has been outed as bunk:
https://www.snopes.com/fact-ch... [snopes.com]
In fact, the Gates Foundation promotes vaccination.
In Africa, to induce ABORTIONS & STERILITY (Score:2)
Oh, for sure: Gates is all about vaccinating other people and leaving them INFERTILE & and their unborn children MURDERED.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2464456/posts [freerepublic.com]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2545560/posts [freerepublic.com]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1658003/posts [freerepublic.com]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1658003/posts [freerepublic.com]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2522882/posts [freerepublic.com]
The plan to replace cables with cell for home inte (Score:2)
The plan to replace cables with cell for home internet will flop. Where Data is capped at 50GB before throttling or overages start at that point.
Re: The plan to replace cables with cell for home (Score:2)
Also, if you'd ever want to come close to the speeds of fiber, you'd have to basically shoot lasers into people's homes, and protect them from interference and from frying birds ... at which point you'd have FIBER again!
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Shoot the lasers from space and you've got StarLink and OneWeb.
But frankly, how many people want fiber speeds? I don't. Anything over 10 Mbps doesn't matter unless you have a gigantic television you sit inches from, and also 20/20 vision.
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> Anything over 10 Mbps doesn't matter unless you have a gigantic television you sit inches from, and also 20/20 vision.
Bullshit. A single ATSC channel's bitstream has 19.2mbps.
If you compressed the hell out of it, you MIGHT pull off 720p30 or (1440 x)1080p24 at 8mbps... but you'd have absolutely no headroom for any kind of forward error correction, so even the slightest hiccup would visibly glitch onscreen. Not to mention, you'd completely saturate your home's internet connection with a single video st
and what about the University of Phoenix will they (Score:2)
and what about the University of Phoenix will they stick around and maybe even out last an state school?
We need lumberjacks (Score:4, Funny)
They can't work from home, but they are needed for the toilet paper business.
We should rename them to buttmen.
Re:We need lumberjacks (Score:5, Funny)
"I cut down trees, I eats my lunch, I love to smell wildflowers.
I put on women's clothing, and hang around in bars!"
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They can't work from home, but they are needed for the toilet paper business.
We should rename them to buttmen.
My Google search for "buttmen" returned something entirely different ...
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I'm surprised there isn't talk of a boom in the bidet style toilet seats and the corresponding water consumption.
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Interestingly, at least to me, the harvesters for felling trees are designed for “zero feet on the forest floor.” Making them remotely operated is just one more step.
Re:Nobody needa toilet paper. (Score:4, Funny)
And my ass is clean as a whistle.
Aren't whistles full of old saliva?
School won't be from home (Score:5, Insightful)
Beyond the information and skills learned, a major purpose of schools is to babysit the kids all day while the parents work. Even in universities such babysitting is often needed - a high fraction of college students never finish their degree due to lack of discipline. All the more so at every lower level of education, the younger the more necessary. Distance learning does not provide for babysitting, so it won't make a significant dent in school time for the forseeable future.
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a major purpose of schools is to babysit the kids all day while the parents work.
Not all parents work. Not all parents work every day. I worked from home 2 days per week pre-covid.
On the days I go to work, I usually get home at about 6 pm. My kids are home from school by 3 pm. So there is still plenty of time when they are unbabysitted.
Perhaps the schools could offer flexible babysitting. Families could have a choice to send their kids to school, have them learn from home, or send them on some days and not on others.
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I worked from home 2 days per week pre-covid.
On the days I go to work, I usually get home at about 6 pm. My kids are home from school by 3 pm. So there is still plenty of time when they are unbabysitted.
Perhaps the schools could offer flexible babysitting. Families could have a choice to send their kids to school, have them learn from home, or send them on some days and not on others.
It'll be discretionay wash and rinse cycle with the flexibility of the unbabysitted. A wash.
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Beyond the information and skills learned, a major purpose of schools is to babysit the kids all day while the parents work.
Obviously parents who aren't practicing the extreme version of "social distancing" also known as telecommuting.
Re:School won't be from home (Score:5, Insightful)
Even in universities such babysitting is often needed - a high fraction of college students never finish their degree due to lack of discipline.
The bigger thing with Universities is that the purpose of a university isn't to educate students. That's just a side gig for them. The real purpose of Universities is to get a large group of incredibly smart people together, doing various basic research, in a (normally) publicly funded manner. There are things that I had access to as a student that I will never have access to in a home environment. Lab equipment, clean rooms, etc... that you simply can not do through distance education. Combine this with the professors/researchers who are pursuing their research interests, and it's an institution that is both incredibly valuable, and will not go away.
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I'm one of those university researchers (although I reject the "incredibly smart" part...). For a week now, we've been working remotely, and late last week the university told all researchers to work from home, with few exceptions. My field (computational linguistics) is of course one that can easily do this; some others, say biology or maybe chemistry, cannot (although IIUC more and more chemistry experiments are being done in a way that's basically robotic). Astronomy is another field which has, I'm to
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Distance learning allows students to go at a pace that is appropriate for their ability to learn. It can be done much cheaper than on campus education. Finally, you don't have to worry about being shut out of the classes you really want and being stuck with classes that you don't like but are forced to take for lack of better opt
Wired: Home Office (Score:4, Insightful)
Tired: Open Office [theladders.com]
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I work for a place where the developers are in one great big "open" collaboration area. And where all of the executives, accounts, HR, and staffing people each have their own individual offices or work cubes.
Funny how the developers are apparently the only ones that need to "collaborate".
The far future has already been predicted (Score:3)
by Asimov. It's called Solaria [fandom.com]: no one meets anyone else in person, and robots do all the work. And many of Azimov's prediction came true,
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Lol OK (Score:3)
Come on, nothing is going to change.
Telemedicine (Score:4, Insightful)
Telemedicine is lacking a few home tools to actually be sufficiently effective, but it will come. (Ordered my pulse oxygen meter already...) Its current form though has been miserable from my experience though, although I imagine most of the blame lies on the patient.
Education needs a shakeup, yes... but distance learning does nothing to solve the needs of K-16th grade in the US. It is also pretty miserable for continuing education as well. Maybe tools eventually evolve (despite not really making any progress in the past 25 years) to make them feel more interactive, but I am not holding my breath. It might help improve access to information (and maybe even knowledge), but converting that into education isn’t a slam dunk. I also worry about the implications of social growth for kids, especially the 15th and 16th graders.
Politically... the best thing that could come of this is single-payer healthcare. How the hell do you deal with people being laid off at a time of medical emergency with any other approach? While I feel most for the waiters and bartenders, there are also plenty of other industries where people will be unemployable for at least six months (especially support roles related to airlines and travel).
But, my biggest hopes are for solutions for medical equipment that does not rely as heavily on single-use products, and a shift away from a global just-in-time supply chain.
Comment removed (Score:3)
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So, how long until the class-action tuition lawsuits start getting filed?
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Why? You seriously thought most office buildings would be hit by planes?
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All it takes is one battery powered lite-brite to bring a city to it's knees for a day or two.
It's a fun thought... (Score:4)
I enjoyed the article. It was a whole lot of wishful thinking. The problem with it is that they are dreaming of an ideal world where people take care of themselves first and then bow to the pressures of others. The real world does not work like that.
Take working from home. Most people who go to work sit on a computer and talk on the phone. Interactions are done by IM's even with the person next to them. The coffee machine is simply a common place for people to complain about. Everything is done by wire. Most find it bothersome when people interrupt you at your desk and ask people don't do that. For all intensive purposes people are already working "remote." The only difference is that at the office they can shame each other for the way they eat, smell, dress, etc...
In the end, the three people that couldn't adopt to it are always used as excuses to bring folks back to work. "Johnny and Sue performed 20% worse at home, so you all come back and I really missed seeing you all." - Some CEO. On top of that, the management who thrive on meeting new people always go back to thinking that if it makes them productive it should make others productive. In the end the idea about working from home is less about individuals and more about what makes people feel most comfortable. What makes most people comfortable is routine.
What this article is asking is that people change the way they think and act towards others. The biggest issue is that most people will never change because for most people it is not them that is the problem. If you can explain how to fix that, then we might be on to something.
--
Only the wisest and stupidest of men never change. - Confucius
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The problem with it is that they are dreaming of an ideal world where people take care of themselves first and then bow to the pressures of others.
Those Asian countries could take tips from us. We bow to no one.
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Depends how much money they save by not having so much office space, having less free coffee, cleaning, toilet paper, electricity, parking spaces...
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It may be a case of evolution in action/natural selection. The businesses that have always at least allowed some work from home will take less of a hit from the pandemic than those that are not at all prepared for it. More companies that forbid it entirely will fail.
Re:It's a fun thought... (Score:4, Informative)
For all intensive purposes people are already working "remote."
That's, "For all intents and purposes," not, "For all intensive purposes."
Definitely... (Score:2)
If the pandemic lasts more than a few months, then it will definitely cause permanent changes.
- Companies have resisted home-office, because managers fear loss of control. But any company suited to home-office, that survives this little adventure, will know that home-office does work, and the managers will have had time to adapt.
- Distance education will be somewhat more prevalent, but only somewhat. The problem you face for many young people (and more children) is motivation. Put a squirmy 12-year-old in a
Definitely...parental involvement. (Score:2)
Put a squirmy 12-year-old in a kitchen chair, and more many of them a physical adult presence will be needed to keep them there.
Like...parents? Oh, this could end badly.
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Like...parents? Oh, this could end badly.
The parents are supposed to be working-from-home. If they are trying to babysit their kids at the same time, they won't get much work done.
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OTOH, if the kid is slacking off from their virtual classroom, they will be bothering their parents, providing a very direct incentive for the parent to insist they sit back down and pay attention in class.
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"Government is and remains a problem." It's also the case that "government" exists at many levels in the US, from the Federal through the state to the local, and there's a huge variation in how well those different levels are responding, as well as in how different entities at the same level are responding. For example, I have a sense that Maryland's governor (Hogan) is doing an outstanding job, and that he's respected by both parties. He is in fact a Republican in an overwhelmingly Democratic state, and
Homeschooling ? Hell no ! (Score:2)
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That's because you're doing it wrong.
Hint: Don't try and do "school at home", where you attempt to do the same things and schedule meant for 30 kids + teacher for just you + your kids. It's a stupid way to learn in school, it's even worse at home where there's not administrative reason for it.
Instead, find something they're interested in doing and turn them loose to go do it for hours at a time.
Academic echo chamber (Score:4, Insightful)
An associate professor of government and politics at the University of Maryland argues that "The Reagan era is over. The widely accepted idea that government is inherently bad won't persist after coronavirus."
Something tells me the professor has never met a conservative, and knows of their ideas only from soundbites and caricatures.
This is why American politics is so terrible right now. People with differing ideas have no real contact. Our online forums are making the problem even worse.
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In a way, he's right. The Reagan era ended in 1988. What he is wishing for is something that never existed.
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Somewhere I read a SciFi story which starts out with a professor bemoaning the growing sheep instinct of people, and which ends with that same professor bemoaning the growing individualism. In between is a paradigm-shifting invention that enables people to do what they've always wanted to do.
No, I don't remember what the story was, nor what the invention was. I'm hoping someone here will help...
I am a cynic (Score:3)
Stop trying to force it into being a thing! (Score:2)
If you are so afraid of social interaction, get a therapy, or declare yourself a new species!
It's a human thing! It is essential for mental health! (There's a hint!)
And it is a thing *because it's more successful* than being a lizard that even eats its own babies!
No matter how much you repeat it. Cause you're the only one.
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than being a lizard that even eats its own babies!
They basically do that only in captivity.
I have about 7 Tokay https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org] at my home in Thailand. They place the eggs all at the same place and as well as the two males and the 5 females guard them together in shifts. They basically only eat flying stuff and nothing that looks like a gecko.
Of course, wiki articles claim different :P but it is hard to believe that my Tokay are something special. They are wild, not captive, they walk arou
Network Infrastructure (Score:2)
I also predict more automation in Amazon warehouses and an attempt at locally teleoperated delivery of "untouched" packages.
online education (Score:3)
It's not the teachers unions and professors who are resistant to online learning. It's human psychology. Take 100 students through a real-life in-person class, and 75 will succeed. Take the same 100 students and teach the same material remotely, and about 60 will succeed. The failure rate will be higher, simply because of lack of motivation and attention. There's nothing like being in front of an authority-figure to make you wake up and focus. It's not about the content.... it's the human on the receiving end that's the issue.
Until we somehow get over this barrier, online teaching will be second fiddle to real life. Personally, I believe that we will eventually figure it out, but nobody has managed to yet. When they do, I will be the FIRST one in line to adopt it.
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Take 100 students through a real-life in-person class, and 75 will succeed. Take the same 100 students and teach the same material remotely, and about 60 will succeed.
That is nonsense.
Remote teaching means still you have a teacher and classes, other wise it is "online material for learning".
I learned 90% of my stuff on my own from books, I don't need a teacher for stuff one can read up ...
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I learned 90% of my stuff on my own from books, I don't need a teacher for stuff one can read up ...
If I hadn't already commented on this story, I would mod you up. I learned more useful stuff in one year with Internet access than I learned in most of my public school years combined.
The Internet is the greatest tool humanity has ever created, and (as is usually the case), most business executives are about 40 years behind on understanding it. I can't wait until the current crop of obsolete bosses retire.
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The OP said 60 of those 100 will succeed. You, sir (or ma'am), are presumably one of those 60.
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Yes and no... learning is easy, motivation is harder.
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Poll 100 millenials about how they feel about online education vs. in-person school, and at least 90 of them will admit that in-person is still better and they prefer it.
Sure, then let those 90 go to class and the remaining 10 can attend remotely from home.
Re: online education (Score:2)
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Put it another way. One society has 75% successful people. Another society has 60% successful people. Which one do you want to be a part of? Which one is going to wind up better off, stronger, richer, more influential? Life isn't entirely a struggle, but humans are a competitive species. In a running race, you only need to be 6 inches ahead of number 2
Nope (Score:2)
There will still be plenty of people that need to get by on their looks that will bring us back into the office.
These idiots clearly never considered history (Score:2)
1300â(TM)s on: Black Death. 1918/19 Spanish Flu.
Yeah they sure killed off human interaction, well no they didnâ(TM)t .
Covid19 isnâ(TM)t in the same league as these, and âoeexpertsâ are contemplating social isolation as the future. Hell, social media has caused far more of that than any plague.
Re: (Score:3)
Gosh, I wonder why those people 100 years ago didn't telecommute to avoid the Spanish Flu? They did have the telephone, after all.
Or we could, ya know (Score:2)
But no, let's reform our entire civilization to save a few tens of billions a year.
The one and only thing I'd like to see come out of this is vote by mail. It would make voter suppression via poll closures much, much harder.
Futurologists... (Score:2)
My daughter wants to go back to school already (Score:2)
There will be more people working from home for sure. There will likely be more flexible education options that include more learning at home.
But like all crisis, once it's over some things will change, but eventually people will go back to doing what they like, and one of those
Here's my 'post-pandemic prediction': (Score:2)
Then everyone will panic out again, and we'll have idiots 'predicting' all sorts of outlandish things.
Rinse, repeat ad infinitum, until the human race is extinct, or until we defeat all disease.
Inherently Bad ... (Score:3)
"The widely accepted idea that government is inherently bad won't persist after coronavirus."
Of course it will because the government *IS* inherently bad. It is just that at the moment it has something meaningful to do -- the actual only reason that government was created. Once this is past the Government will have no "useful purpose" once again and will go back to its useless old "inherently bad" behaviours.
"could have been an email. And now they will be" (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
The Fletcher Memorial Home ... enough said.
Asimov (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Prevention is Better than Cure (Score:2)
But for me, home working also means not burning gas to get to the office and back. Prior to the home-working, I would average 8,000 miles a year (I know that's not much: think of the environment). That's now down to 1,800 miles a yea
Re: (Score:2)
You really didn't get out much even before all the social distancing started, did you?
But that's quite a straw-man caricature you've built for everyone you dislike....
Re: Innumeracy (Score:2)