Gartner Predicts 'Digital Immune Systems' and Virtual Metaverse Workspaces (forbes.com) 36
Gartner, the prestigious tech research and consulting firm, has released its annual predictions for "strategic tech trends" in the coming year.
Forbes offers a summary. Some highlights: Digital Immune Systems. [A]ntiquated development and testing approaches are no longer sufficient for delivering robust and resilient business-critical solutions that also provide a superior user experience. A Digital Immune System combines several software engineering strategies such as observability, automation, and extreme testing to enhance the customer experience by protecting against operational and security risks. By 2025, Gartner predicts that organizations that invest in building digital immunity will increase end-user satisfaction through applications that achieve greater uptime and deliver a stronger user experience.
Applied Observability. The path to data-driven decision making includes a shift from monitoring and reacting to data to proactively applying that data in an orchestrated and integrated way across the enterprise. Doing so can shorten the time it takes to reach critical decisions while also facilitating faster, more accurate planning. Gartner notes observable data as an organization's "most precious monetizable asset" and encourages leaders to seek use cases and business capabilities in which this data can deliver competitive advantage.
"By 2025, Gartner predicts that 50% of CIOs will have performance metrics tied to the sustainability of the IT organization," Forbes writes. But they also note that Gartner is predicting platform engineering — "a curated set of reusable self-service tools, capabilities, and processes" to speed up and optimize development. "Gartner predicts that by 2026, 80% of software engineering organizations will establish platform teams."
They're also predicting "adaptive" AI that can change after being deployed. But Forbes summarizes Gartner's related prediction, that AI leaders "increasingly must bake governance, trustworthiness, fairness, reliability, efficacy and privacy into AI operations" to improve adoption and user acceptance. This will include tools that "make AI models easier to interpret and explain while improving overall privacy and security."
PC Magazine offers this summary of a related prediction from Gartner: "By 2025, without sustainable AI practices, AI will consume more energy than the average European country, offsetting any environmental gains that AI creates by 25%."
Gartner also predicts a phasing out of marketing that uses social media sites' data about individuals — and that fully virtual workspaces "will account for 30% of the investment growth in metaverse technologies and will 'reimagine' the office experience through 2027," writes PC Magazine: [Gartner Fellow Daryl Plummer] said people need to reimagine how work will be done. He said that few people want to go back to the office full-time, but that virtual participants in calls often feel like second-class citizens. A fully immersive world is an answer to this, he said, with the interactive experience more important than information exchange. He believes metaverse experiences will be where people collaborate in ways they couldn't do in the office, blurring the line between home and work.
By 2025, "labor volatility" will cause 40% of organizations to report a material business loss, forcing a shift in talent strategy from acquisition to resilience. Plummer talked about revamping the way talent is valued. He said people don't want to do just one thing, but want to be "versatilists," which makes them more valuable to the company and less likely to leave.
Forbes offers a summary. Some highlights: Digital Immune Systems. [A]ntiquated development and testing approaches are no longer sufficient for delivering robust and resilient business-critical solutions that also provide a superior user experience. A Digital Immune System combines several software engineering strategies such as observability, automation, and extreme testing to enhance the customer experience by protecting against operational and security risks. By 2025, Gartner predicts that organizations that invest in building digital immunity will increase end-user satisfaction through applications that achieve greater uptime and deliver a stronger user experience.
Applied Observability. The path to data-driven decision making includes a shift from monitoring and reacting to data to proactively applying that data in an orchestrated and integrated way across the enterprise. Doing so can shorten the time it takes to reach critical decisions while also facilitating faster, more accurate planning. Gartner notes observable data as an organization's "most precious monetizable asset" and encourages leaders to seek use cases and business capabilities in which this data can deliver competitive advantage.
"By 2025, Gartner predicts that 50% of CIOs will have performance metrics tied to the sustainability of the IT organization," Forbes writes. But they also note that Gartner is predicting platform engineering — "a curated set of reusable self-service tools, capabilities, and processes" to speed up and optimize development. "Gartner predicts that by 2026, 80% of software engineering organizations will establish platform teams."
They're also predicting "adaptive" AI that can change after being deployed. But Forbes summarizes Gartner's related prediction, that AI leaders "increasingly must bake governance, trustworthiness, fairness, reliability, efficacy and privacy into AI operations" to improve adoption and user acceptance. This will include tools that "make AI models easier to interpret and explain while improving overall privacy and security."
PC Magazine offers this summary of a related prediction from Gartner: "By 2025, without sustainable AI practices, AI will consume more energy than the average European country, offsetting any environmental gains that AI creates by 25%."
Gartner also predicts a phasing out of marketing that uses social media sites' data about individuals — and that fully virtual workspaces "will account for 30% of the investment growth in metaverse technologies and will 'reimagine' the office experience through 2027," writes PC Magazine: [Gartner Fellow Daryl Plummer] said people need to reimagine how work will be done. He said that few people want to go back to the office full-time, but that virtual participants in calls often feel like second-class citizens. A fully immersive world is an answer to this, he said, with the interactive experience more important than information exchange. He believes metaverse experiences will be where people collaborate in ways they couldn't do in the office, blurring the line between home and work.
By 2025, "labor volatility" will cause 40% of organizations to report a material business loss, forcing a shift in talent strategy from acquisition to resilience. Plummer talked about revamping the way talent is valued. He said people don't want to do just one thing, but want to be "versatilists," which makes them more valuable to the company and less likely to leave.
By 2025, Gartner predicts that... (Score:5, Funny)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
I mean, he's counting with you not remembering it so you can't point out the flaws of his methods
HR, Fluff and Stuff (Score:3)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
You missed "experience".
Re: (Score:2)
I thought that's what they were doing.
Meh, Gartner predictions.. (Score:5, Insightful)
Gartner and IDC predictions are really not that interesting. They range from predicting what has already happened or is just supremely obvious to anyone, to duct taped vague buzzwords together that could mean anything, to just random guesses that fail to pass more often than they come true.
Here we have the 'digital immune systems' that as described (buzzword soup of supremely vague nature), just about anything can happen and whatever it is they can somehow rationalize that outcome as consistent with their 'prediction'.
On the 'investment in metaverse to reimagine the workspace', they will get partial credit. They claim that Meta's spending will be significantly focused on that goal, which is simply repeating what Meta has said they plan to do. They can get out of the utter market failure of that strategy by saying their prediction that Meta would spend that much *reimagining*, not that they made statements regarding their likelihood to get traction in the marketplace.
So to anyone still looking at predictions by these firms, or even more subjective assessments of the way the markets are today, your confidence is not well placed. They do an adequate job of gathering statistics, but are not good at discerning meaning from the data.
Re: (Score:3)
1993 (Score:2)
People in the nineties used to really care about Gartner's predictions.
Now we all know the concept was a silly relic of the:1800's.
IBM was talking about this in the 90s... (Score:3)
IBM was talking about "digital immune systems" back in the 1990s, back in the days when sending up suspect files to the mother ship was considered an awesome feature because broadband wasn't common yet.
We already have all that, and the cat and mouse game continues. AV scanners gave way to in-resident programs, which gave way to MDRs/EDRs/XDRs that constantly monitor I/O, as well as hardware-level protections. The armor gets better, but the bad guys are always a step ahead.
As for metaverse stuff, we have had that for decades. Anyone remember Illuminati Online and their metaverse? Back in 2000 or so, people were talking how Furcadia was going to be the ultimate metaverse. Then came Second Life, and 1 LD=1 USD... and how that sort of just petered out. The existing world sucks ass as it is. Why do we need another world with ads we cannot look away from and charging us for everything and anything?
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2)
Still around, and Dr. Cat is still doing updates on it.
Good! (Score:2)
I predict someone is overpaid (Score:2)
There, I said the magic words, now where's the person without a brain giving me money?
Digital Immune System? WTF? (Score:3)
We cannot even do reliable IDS these days. An "immune system" would be an accident waiting to happen. Somebody had no ideas and then came up wit this nonsense.
Re: (Score:3)
Sounds like something that usually comes out of C-level management. You know, all the self-important and completely detached from reality "visionaries".
Re: (Score:2)
The wisdom of the masses. There are lots of people at the 'top' who have opinions, and Gartner is there to harvest those opinions and break them down for you. Unfortunately those at the top are more accurately defined as those who have connections. The 1%. Yale & Harvard. They aren't very strong on thinking or understanding how an existing condition will lead to a future outcome.
But there are _individuals_ who do these predictions more reliably. They once included George Orwell, HG Wells, and other obse
Re: (Score:3)
There are some definite parallels between the stuff they teach in non-specialty classes about how immune systems recognize and react to pathogen surface proteins and how basic boring signature and heuristic AV tools attempt to recognize malware; and the broader biological reality(where the whole system totters along mo
Re: (Score:2)
"Digital Immune System" is techno babble from +15 years ago. It's always just 5 years away.
Re: (Score:2)
Yes, probably.
I predict Gartner... (Score:3)
Will never get their heads out of their asses.
If only there was a software layer... (Score:2)
That could see all you did. And could offer shared resources across many programs. If only they'd spend some time adding something useful, rather than "I changed the start button and File Explorer! Now pay me!!!!"
Hey AD-DOT (Score:3)
I'm one of those that earned the right to block ads with that little 'disable ads for your contribution' checkbox on the right side of the page.
Why am I seeing Jobbio ads with that enabled?
Re: (Score:2)
Same old, same old. Push out the feature (more ads) first, worry about making it complete and work with already-present features later.
Re: (Score:2)
Why am I seeing Jobbio ads with that enabled?
They're at the bottom of the main page too. Obviously our Digital Immune Systems are not sufficiently advanced.
(I found that uBlock Origin's manual element picker seems to do a good job eliminating these ads BTW).
Non-metaverse WFH is enough of a pain in the ass (Score:1)
My partner briefly had to do WFH while his office was closed during hurricane Ian. When I wasn't having to play unpaid IT support, I was trying to keep the cat from scratching on the bedroom door while he was on calls. Cats are just not compatible with WFH.
I really hope this virtual WFH thing has a virtual cat that walks on your virtual keyboard while you're trying to virtually work.
These are the jokers who predicted (Score:2)
I'm not holding my breath.
It is difficult enough already (Score:2)
Web form driven crap is already got problems. Now, every database, spreadsheet, email, and pdf doc will have to be presented as cartoonland dancing baloney?
Fuckin' children.
Comment removed (Score:3)
Blockchain? (Score:3)
They forgot the blockchain! How could Gartner imagine a 2025 without blockchain everywhere in the metaverse?
Nothing changes (Score:2)
It was unions demanding single-role jobs and multiple pay-scales.
Versatilist hasn't worked either: Employers want people who already have the job. Government pretends training is the answer and nothing changes.
dskoll predicts (Score:2)
.... that Gartner will fleece more ignorant CxO types out of lots of cash in return for useless reports.
Good boilerplate though (Score:1)
Gartner predictions do make for an entertaining alternative to the standard lorem ipsum...especially when combined with crazy quotes from Charlie Sheen, Gary Busey, or Donald Trump.