Tracking Online Cheaters in Poker 150
prostoalex writes "MSNBC has a special report on discovering online cheats at AbsolutePoker.com. A Costa Rican company belonging to a Canadian tribe at first denied all the accusations of any cheating going on, but after Serge Ravitch made a scrupulous analysis of the games' events, the reputation of AbsolutePoker.com was at stake. A detailed log file provided investigators with necessary details: an employee and partial owner of the site was one of the players involved, and having direct access to other players' cards allowed him to improve his game substantially."
Silly gamblers (Score:1, Interesting)
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All online games are easy to fix but I think people who play online poker are crazy. The whole point of the game is making judgements about the cards people are holding from their behaviour. If you can't see them, or even be sure that they are members of your species, why would you play?
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Re:Silly gamblers (Score:5, Insightful)
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So, you're telling me you would rather play a black box game for money than a transparent one in a casino?
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The odds might be against you in a casino but that's not cheating. That's totally transparent and in the open. If you choose to play knowing that it's your decision. But the casinos don't cheat.
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There are online poker rooms with very good reputations among avid poker players; Absolute Poker, despite its size, is not one of them.
Re:Silly gamblers (Score:5, Funny)
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Re:Silly gamblers (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Silly gamblers (Score:5, Informative)
Yes, playing online takes away non-verbal tells. But it also gives you ammo in the form of hand histories, betting patterns, etc. You can gain far more information about an opponent if you know how he's played in the past than you ever could off a potentially deceptive tell.
Also, if you're wondering why some people play online, it's because there's far more diversity of games - typical live poker rooms these days are just $1/$2 NL HoldEm fests, with very few other tables. Plus many players enjoy the faster rate of the game, and some even multitable, having numerous tables open at once. You can play *far* more hands per hour online than in a live game.
With that said, I do enjoy live poker more, and I would play it more often - if only it was legal and regulated in my state. Too bad I have to drive three hours to find the closest poker room.
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The key here is that online poker always allows a player to "cheat" even if it is something as simple as the other player just punching the card history into a second computer to give him all the statistics. Heck... You might even being playing against several persons sitting at a comp
Re:Silly gamblers (Score:5, Insightful)
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Re:Silly gamblers (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Silly gamblers (Score:4, Insightful)
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Bad bots don't do second order logic.
As anyone who has played any poker knows, there are a variety of strategies one can do in poker, affecting everything from when to bluff or fold, raise or call, etc. It's relatively trivial to have a bot that can try different techniques depending on who it's playing against, and learn what works and doesn't.
Furthermore (and especially at hig
Re:Silly gamblers (Score:4, Interesting)
Creating a bot that defeats weak players is trivial, ie: players that have no sense of the odds they will hit something and make decisions that you can prove to be wrong based on the mathematics of the cards. A computer could calculate perfect odds and only play on them. However, such a bot would lose agains even a mediocre player that uses deception in his hands, plays bluffs, and watches the computers betting patterns. It's not hard to spot mathematical play.
Creating a bot that plays like a poker pro would require a combination of programmed intelligence, mathematics, player statistics, and second-order logic. There is no 'algorithm' that plays good poker yet, that I know of. It's not trivial.
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And of course you get to laugh at all the people on the wrong side of the fence on a day like today, and take their money!
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Where were you in 87 and 2001?
Also, it seems I am not the only one [sec.gov] to see stocks as risky. Specifically:
Day trading is extremely risky and can result in substantial financial losses in a very short period of time.
Oh sure, it's fairly safe to research a company, buy stocks, and hold them for a long time. I buy stock and hold it for minutes, hou
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There is a very simple test..
Football fans know the top 20 football players, it's a game of skill.
Baseball fans know the top 20 baseball players, it's a game of skill.
Poker fans know the top 20 poker players, it's a game of skill.
See the pattern? Now, tell me:
Name the top 20 craps players in the world
Name the top 20 slots players in the world
Name the top 20 roulette players in the world.
Yes, poker has an element of luck: You can o
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A game of chance is w
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So, revenues of online poker sites were over $2 billion in 2005 (hence it being a billion-dollar industry), and the industry encompassed over $60 billio
what is the best way? (Score:1)
"This is literally a geek trying to prove to senior management that they were wrong and he took it too far," he said.
So you know there is a problem and management refuses to believe it. What's the best course of action? Ignore it (and potentially looking like an idiot and getting fired when it's discovered)? Show that it's a problem (and potentially be fired)?
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view source (Score:5, Funny)
and having direct access to other players' cards allowed him to improve his game substantially.
</Understatement>
Careful man (Score:2)
Well, duh! That's why it is called "gambling" (Score:5, Insightful)
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Good Idea. They could use a portion of the (probably sizeable) proceeds for gambling rehabilitation. If only the US gov't would do same with Marijuana sales ;)
I know lots of stoners that wouldn't care for the marijuana rehabilitation part...
...but yeah, I darn near guarantee they could tax the sales of it at triple the rate of cigarettes and still have lines out the door and around the block. Same age limits as alcohol, with "dry" regions allowable with medical exceptions. HUGE tax windfall, and if they're smart, it could save the dying walrus that is Social Security. Goo goo g'joob.
Don't get me wrong...I'm not arguing the obvious hazards of inhaling ANY type
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Last time I was sober, man I felt bad
Worst hangover that I ever had
Took six hamburgers, scotch all night
Nicotine for breakfast just to put me right
If you wanna run cool, you've got to run on Heavy Fuel.
If it wasn't for drinking and smoking, fucking and toking, there'd be no reason for working and eating.
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Perhaps this could be the next
If you could walk into the convenience store/gas station and ask for and get a 'pack of Northern Lights 100's', then I might warm up to my job as a convenience store clerk.
Why yes, I frequently post while drunk!
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And they should allow cardrooms in all states, just like California does. Basically, if you aren't playing against the house (playing only against other players), it should be a legal game to spread. That's generally how it works in California (overgeneralizing here, but you get my point). No slots, no blackjack, roulette, etc, but poker and other card games where you play other players only.
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You want the government to try to regulate electronic gambling? Hell, they can't even manage to create a fair and unhackable playing ground on something unimportant like, ya know, Voting. No randomization, just tiny amounts of personal information, and no personal funds up for grabs (unless you count the lobbyists and the corporations that benefit from legislation, but that's another story...).
Online gambling for large sums of money is just plain stupid. Online gambling on sports matches is getting to
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I think I'm missing something in your logic...
If t
Re:Well, duh! That's why it is called "gambling" (Score:5, Informative)
Second, there is oversight. There's the Kahnawake Gaming Commission. [kahnawake.com] But, admittedly, they blow at customer relations. But with their backs against the server-room, they're actually doing something about this one. They're commissioning an independent investigation to see what's going on. Again-- because it would be bad PR otherwise.
And that's where the real oversight comes in. The players are what keep the online casinos "honest". Players like those who discovered the AP cheats. People who know how the games should be running, and know when things aren't being run correctly. Then there's player run oversight groups like Casinomeister [casinomeister.com]. And there's also people who have put up tons of statistical information about online games, like The Wizard of Odds [wizardofodds.com]
A casino with a bad reputation gets spotted, gets talked about, and goes out of business. The online gambling world's potential playerbase is relatively small, and there's a LOT of businesses who want a piece of their action. Screw up once, and every single player has five hundred other places they can go to.
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Most of the stupidity in the world does not originate from stupid people. There is something about certain topics that causes the brain to down-regulate critical thinking, esp. topics on the axis of fe
collusion (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:collusion (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:collusion (Score:5, Interesting)
Isn't calling out on the same phone line your modem is using a bit difficult?
If you try to cheat in a real casino, people would eventually notice.
I'm not sure how. For example, if you and your friend sit at the same table in the casino, and you've worked up a system where he plays very tight (comes in with nothing less than a 10-10 or A-K), he can explain his play as following one of the books (Helmuth, I think). Before he folds he plays with his chips, just like everyone else does, and uses the chips to signal to you what he has. Maybe makes two stacks of the appropriate height. Since the casino does not know what he folded, they cannot coorelate his actions with specific values of cards.
If he doesn't fold, he uses different chips for card protectors depending on what he has.
Of course, you cannot sit and stare at him until he plays with his chips, or ask him to do it again, and he cannot be obvious about counting out how many chips or you might get caught as being just plain suspicious. Otherwise, you'd blend into the normal pattern of play.
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Online poker sites keep records of every hand that is played for money. They can go back and check hand histories to look for collusion. Most the time the people doing it are quite amateur, and their play reveals what they are doing. The hand histories of online poker sites theoretically make it much easier to catch collusion online than in B&M poker.
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Even the best poker players make plays that "don't make sense". Sometimes the commentators actually say that, sometimes they just make something up so it looks like the player was the smartest guy alive for knowing when to do something that common sense and percentages says he shouldn't.
Next time you watch poker on TV, keep track of the number of times Mike Sexton says he can't imagine that a player could possibl
Re:collusion (Score:5, Funny)
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I've been living here for 7 years now I think and I have never had a phone line.
Also I can start as many outgoing phone calls as I feel for =P (well, the client may have a limit.)
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Perhaps there was something interesting that you wrote, but it's pretty clear that you are just arguing for the sake of arguing here, so I stopped reading.
Re:collusion (Score:5, Insightful)
Online poker sites have vast quantities of forensic evidence - complete hand histories, including the actions and hole cards of all players involved, for every hand ever played. Easy to datamine for suspicious patterns, and sites like PokerStars have people doing that full time. Surveillance video of live games isn't as complete, isn't stored for as long, doesn't include hole card data, and is vastly more difficult to review.
I routinely play for thousands of dollars both live and online. I'm not too concerned about being cheated in either, but I'm more concerned about the live games than the online ones on trusted sites.
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I still don't see how you would stop collusion via phone, or just having multiple computers with different providers so you could hold two or three hands at a table.
You can't stop it, but you can use all that forensic data to detect that something screwy was going on. Cheating both effectively and subtly is not easy, and if you slip up, you're running the risk of having your entire online bankroll confiscated or redistributed to your victims. If you have the necessary skill, it's more rational to play lower stakes honestly. (Or, I suppose, play on a site like Absolute with substandard security. Sigh.)
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why do you think online casinos are any more "loose" as they say than physical casinos? What prevents online casinos from using software that gives them the same advantages statistically as real world casinos? For that matter, many online
Re:collusion (Score:5, Informative)
The house takes a fixed amount of every pot, called the "rake". Sure, some casinos take more than others, but it's not because the software is fixed one way or the other - it's because they've said upfront that they are going to take X% out of every pot.
That's a big reason a lot of us love poker - you aren't playing against the house. *Any* game you play against the house, you will be losing money in the long run - a casino isn't going to spread a game that it will statistically lose money on. (Card counters in blackjack being a rare exception, where they can eak out an overall 1% return on investment if they get away with it).
Poker you play against other players. Sure, there's luck and variance involved, but in the long-term if you are more skillful at the game than other players enough to beat the rake, you will make money, guaranteed. That's why there are professional poker players - they are good enough to make a consistent living at the game. No such thing as professional roulette or slots players - as much as some people might try!
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Card counters in blackjack being a rare exception, where they can eak out an overall 1% return on investment if they get away with it
Completely agree with what you said, but this statement needs clarifying. That 1% isn't really the ROI because it's a 1% edge per dollar bet and the total bets in a session will be many times the investment (bankroll). A counter wouldn't start a session with $100 and expect to end with $101 on average. There'd be no point if it were that low a return.
You seem to be making some big assumptions... (Score:2, Insightful)
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Actually it's much easier than in a live game, because you can keep records of every single hand.
I do remember an article on slashdot from years back where the author statistically examined the deals from an online poker site and concluded that they were dealing from the bottom of the deck
I'd be interested in that article if you can find it. I have no idea what "bottom of the deck" means in an online game, but if the hands aren't di
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With just two people? Not usually. The forms of collusion which have a meaningful impact usually involve having over half the table in on it. Software can detect betting patterns, IP addresses, and other heuristics to catch most of this. Alert players can also smell a rat, online or in real life.
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No it doesn't. It gives them a small advantage. Statistically, little.
collusion actually causes you to risk more (combined money of those involved), to win less (winnings is split) for a slight increase in odds.
And they do this online as well. Only they're on the phone and they know exactly what cards each other have. It's not as big a deal as you make it out to be. Generally, you need to be very good players, and play against not so good playe
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cheating has to happen (Score:5, Interesting)
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Do you have evidence of this? This is only the second major case of cheating that I know of, and in both cases players are having the money confiscated. Sure, you can't prove that cheating isn't happening, but I know many people (outside the US, of course, unfortunately we can't play anymore) who play online and make a killing at it. There simply isn't evidence that people are getting cheated out of their money with any kind of mea
Re:cheating has to happen (Score:4, Interesting)
Because each of you two individually suck at poker, but observably improve when you're at the same table?
Me too. (Score:3, Funny)
Yeah, I find knowing the other players cards helps my game as well. Go figure...
More greedy or stupid? Probably stupid. (Score:1)
Here are some of the damning hand histories: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Board=beats&Number=12493401&page=0&fpart=1 [twoplustwo.com]
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Offtopic (Score:2)
For those who don't want to read through that... (Score:2, Interesting)
POKERME420 - Posts small blind $150
JINXY_MONKEY - Posts big blind $300
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to AUTOSMOKE [7c 4h]
Dealt to OBV_DONK [Js 5h]
Dealt to POTR0AST [6h 4c]
Dealt to POTRIPPER [Ks Qd]
Dealt to POKERME420 [10d Qs]
Dealt to JINXY_MONKEY [Ah As]
Dealt to CLOVER777 [Kh Jd]
Dealt to SCARFACE_79 [7s 3h]
SCARFACE_79 - Folds
CLOVER777 - Calls $300
OBV_DONK - Folds
AUTOSMOKE - Folds
POTR0AST - Folds
POTRIPPER - Folds
POKERME420 - Ra
Remember, students... (Score:4, Funny)
Tip of the Iceberg (Score:5, Interesting)
from the article, it mentions that the cheater was so blatant at cheating because they had a personal vendetta to prove to the company about it's flawed security. Basically the cheater told the company that it's systems were vulnerable and they wouldn't listen, so he set out to prove a point to them. Only after basically being so blatant at cheating that people thought he was god, and complained umpteen times to Absolute Poker did they do anything about it.
Basically what this proves is that, there is no way a real cheater will be caught. A real cheater is not going to do things to draw attention to themselves, if they can gain a 100% edge by cheating, they won't press it to it's maximum, they'll only press it slightly so that they only have a 55% edge, time and compounding will make them rich beyond their wildest dreams, and NO ONE will be the wiser.
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If they don't have a chat function, please disregard this post.
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"First Statement:
"We have done an extensive research into the claims that have been brought to our attention. While we are continuing with our investigation, we have yet to find any evidence of wrong doing. Our game client only receives data regarding the individuals hand and no other players hole cards, except in the event of a showdown. The player's and their respective actions that are in question, all come from a small sample of Hands. We have researched their play exhaustively
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Was the employee a shill who was playing for the.. (Score:2)
A very good summary (Score:5, Informative)
The Absolute Poker Scandal
October 16th, 2007 5 Comments
Is AbsolutePoker.com rigged?
Either way, the company is in big trouble. What follows in this post is huge news in the world of online poker and online casinos.
Our story begins in 2003. Absolute Poker's software is in development and many test accounts are created to make sure the program is working correctly. One of these test accounts, known as account #363, can see the hole cards at any table. This test account can not be used to play in real money games, it is only used for development purposes to see that pots are distributed correctly. The id number of this account being #363 is important because this tells us that this was one of the first accounts ever opened in AbsolutePoker, making it very likely the person in control of this account is someone with intimate ties with the company (owner, founder, employee, programmer, shareholder, etc.)
Follow with me to the opening of Absolute Poker (AP). Four people in different parts of the United States open up accounts at Absolute Poker. These four individuals do not know each other. The names in question are Graycat, Steamroller, DoubleDrag, and Potripper. They play in Absolute Poker for a bit, but they don't do well and their accounts are not logged into for many months. These are actual and real players, they are not fake players, they do not know each other, and they are not cheaters.
Key moment in the development of Absolute Poker: a major software upgrade is in process in 2007. The company hires programmers from many areas, including Costa Rica. Our villain in this scandal comes across the test account #363 with hole card access. Visions of big money flash in front of his eyes as he envisions hacking his way to big casino cash. He hatches a plan.
He finds inactive accounts at Absolute Poker and changes the password to these accounts at the server level. He opens test account 363 at a separate computer which allows him to see all the hole cards at the table. He then gets family and friends to cash out his winnings to. The way he does this is after he gets a big amount of cash at the poker tables, he plays against his relatives and buddies and loses all his cash to them. DoubleDrag loses to Reymnaldo, Graycat loses to SupercardM55, and Steamroller and Potripper lose to other various friend and family controlled accounts.
September comes, and as the money piles up, so does the ego and greed. Other poker players make comments in chat that they suspect there is cheating and collusion involved. He logs in as DoubleDrag and then loses every hand intentionally in No-Limit in an attempt to cover up his scam as he senses other players may be on to him.
September 12th. A well-known online poker tournament player named Marco Johnson, who plays under the screen name CrazyMarco plays in a $1000 buy-in tournament at AbsolutePoker.com. Cheat account Potripper is also playing in this tournament. CrazyMarco loses a head-to-head battle with Potripper when Potripper and asks for the hand history of the final table.
September 17th. The four Absolute Poker accounts (Graycat, Steamroller, DoubleDrag, and Potripper) are suspended and frozen.
September 21st. AbsolutePoker sends CrazyMarco a huge Microsoft Excel spreadsheet file (10MB and a full 65,536 rows, which is limit in Excel for most current versions). The spreadsheet is too complicated and scrambled to look into, so he saves it and decides to analyze it later.
October 12th. An AbsolutePoker.com official statement is released with their official comments on the cheating rumors, gossip, controversy, and overall poker community outrage. The company has been made aware of the poker blogs, chatrooms, and online casino discussion forums that are talking about this situation and they state that they take these allegations "extremely seriously". They have "determined with reas
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38) AP has started calling everyone in the POTRIPPER tournament and giving them $500 for accidentally releasing their personal information.
http://www.pocketfives.com/71799506-992E-48C2-9EC0-4DABF161EF92.aspx [pocketfives.com]
It seems they think they can bribe their way out of this one. It's guaranteed to backfire on them, admitting liability like that.
Deja vu (Score:2)
Granted, this particular incident does give a black eye to the industry, but I can't help thinking back to the mid-nineties. Every once in a while there'd be a news story about some online store or other leaking credit card information, or closing up shop and keeping customer money without delivering the goods, or some other scandal. And every ti
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I play online poker (or any other online game) and am cheated. Where do I get my money back? I don't. I'm just poorer and perhaps somewhat more experienced.
Um.... DUH! (Score:2, Informative)
Just.
Plain.
Stupid.
I guess that stupid people get what they deserve.
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proof of cheating == bankruptcy (Score:2)
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how's that feel?
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Re:on collusion, riggedness, superuser accounts et (Score:2)