Traffic Fraud Inflates Video Site Popularity 114
Dotnaught writes "A new study by spyware researcher Ben Edelman finds that spyware-driven traffic inflation is common, particularly at video sites. The study identifies Bolt.com, GrindTV.com, Broadcaster.com, Away.com, RooTV.com, and Diet.com as the beneficiaries of spyware-driven traffic. 'Our measurement systems are inaccurate for the amount of trust we'd like to put into them,' Edelman said. 'So that's the puzzle: How do you build an advertising economy when the number can't be trusted?'"
Who?? (Score:5, Insightful)
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Re:Who?? (Score:5, Funny)
Same problem for the Italian TV, no solution (Score:4, Interesting)
FYI we have the same problem in Italy for the number of TV programs viewers.
There is a corporation, Auditel, which is in teory indipendent but in practice is owned for the 66% by the two biggest TV networks (RAI, the crappy public TV, and Mediaset the crappier Berlusconi's TV).
Their numbers are used for the prices of the ads and the result is that they always greatly overestimate the number of watchers. An infamous case was when, due to a technical problem, the transmission of a big channel was interrupted for 30 minutes and according to Auditel millions of people (a big percentage of the Italian population) continued to watch it anyway, without any interruption and without changing channel!
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[this is a bit OT]
I don't know how familiar you are with the Italian TV, but trust me: the Mediaset channels are even worse than the already really bad RAI's. RAI4 doesn't exist, maybe you mean RAI3 [raitre.rai.it]? Yes they are the exception that proves the rule: they often have decent programs, sometime even great ones. This last category is also the category that get canceled faster if they dare to disturb the Catholic Church, some politician or the mafia.
If you want something better you must search outside of the R
Re:Same problem for the Italian TV, no solution (Score:4, Interesting)
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P.S. I don't see where you get the insult from, maybe you're just the type who finds "Eeeeh, my mother-in-law" jokes funny?
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What I actually remember of 70s TV is negigible (I was only 4 when the 80s started). Having said that, there was a lot of stuff I remember liking in the very early 80s that in retrospect I realise was more commonly
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I assume in their case the numbers didn't change.
Re:Who?? (Score:4, Insightful)
I believe the fundamental question about building an advertising based economy on untrustable numbers is indeed key. This attack is the equivalent of someone figuring out how to plant a remote-controlled tv remote-control in every Nielson living room and using it to fool Nielson's tracking into thinking the families where all watching certain shows - ones for which the producers had paid the remote-control controller a fee. If that were to happen, billions of dollars of tv advertisment revenue would be at risk.
The internet makes such an otherwise impossible attack relatively easy. I suspect the only long-term solution is to not base the economy on advertising. Find another way, my personal favorite being something along the lines of "global co-op comissioned work with release to the public domain." In other words, pay for actual creative work done, not unreliable statistics about eyeballs and promotion.
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Re:Who?? (Score:5, Funny)
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RE: Effect of traffic fraud in advertising economy (Score:2)
Jah-Wren, your second paragraph exactly captures my view of the significance of this problem. If money flows with ads, and if ads follow measured traffic, then there's a striking incentive to inflate measured traffic. So advertisers, ad networks, and legit publishers have to be on the lookout -- lest cheaters reduce payments to legit web sites.
As to your third paragraph, proposing paying for "actual creative work done" rather than for ads:
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But I think it's hard to implement in practice. Who would do the paying? Who would decide how much creative work had been done?
I don't think its terribly hard. In a nutshell, it would be a modern form of patronage. A creator offers a description of the work he would like to produce along with an asking price. People who are interested in seeing that work completed pay into an escrow fund as they see fit. When the balance in the fund reaches the asking price, the creator gets to work and and collects the escrowed funds on release of his work. If the balance never reaches the asking price, he can lower his asking price or the m
Re:Who?? (Score:4, Interesting)
Many web sites will gladly sell you a place to put one of your banners. They will charge you a fee that is justified by the amount of visitors who will see your banner, further justified by estimating how many of those visitors would be likely to click on your banner and why.
For sites that depend on selling advertisement space to monetize, traffic scores calculated by third party sites like Amazon make or break your ability to get prime bucks for prime space on your web sites.
Comapnies who need to show an instant boom in traffic sometimes employ the use of spyware that can be signaled from a remote connection to begin "surfing" a given site from the visitor's IP address proporting to be the user's default browser type. Instantly, millions of people start surfing the target site completely unaware they're even doing it. Its a booming business, building and renting these networks.
You may not have heard of any of these sites, but I'm sure you'd pay top dollar to advertise there once you saw their traffic scores. Its a new cottage industry that thrives on Windows / IE users.
Re:Who?? (Score:4, Interesting)
No, I've never heard of the sites either.
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You'll find (sometimes) full-length, high-quality stuff.
Equally, a host of specialised search engines such as allug.org have sprung up to search such sites.
More info here http://tinyurl.com/2fva6c [tinyurl.com] (Wall Street Journal)
Until I read the WSJ article, I'd never heard of any of them either. Suppose they'll all get sued into oblivion now...
All ratings are cooked - so what? (Score:2)
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Simple (Score:1)
Use a different measurement system, and don't install spyware.
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And this obviously hasn't killed the traditional advertising business. So why should it be different with web advertising? You don't need exact, trusted numbers elsewhere, so you should not need them here eith
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Might be pretty feasible now. You might just have something there. But as far as I'm concerned, I'd just as soon see all the classic business models go away. A good shakeup is what's needed. To those trying to maintain the old ways, I say, "Let them eat cake!" They're in a panic, and it's very fun to watch. They strive so hard for a stable and predictable market, and I think it's great to see it slip through their hands. A l
This is how... (Score:5, Insightful)
There's a sucker born every minute. Customers and advertisers both. Google proves it every day. Even the price comparison sites are becoming bogus.
Widget online: $3
Shipping & "handling": $25
Markup for the ad we had to buy to get you here: $47
On sale at the local mall: $2
Now that Google is taking over the entire ad space, it's one simple entry in the ad blocking software to eliminate most ads. Get Adblock properly configured and you'll rarely if ever see an ad.
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Now that Google is taking over the entire ad space, it's one simple entry in the ad blocking software to eliminate most ads. Get Adblock properly configured and you'll rarely if ever see an ad.
That's ironic, because Googles ads are generally the ones I feel no need to block; they're not particularly intrusive. By contrast, the reason I switched to Google from Yahoo in the first place was specifically the annoying popup ads (mainly for X10).
Let's make this clear; Yahoo lost me permanently as a user (rare email use aside) *specifically* because of the annoying popups; and ones mainly aimed at one advertiser at that. Now, I'm probably not enough of an ad-clicker (either at Yahoo or Google) that t
the REALLY annoying ones (Score:2)
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It's a problem everywhere (Score:5, Insightful)
Some people intentionally inflate their stats, others end up inflating them unintentionally. Drudge reports an absurd amount of page views in their advertising page, but if you stay on the home page for any length of time you see the page auto-refreshing. Does that count? If you are selling CPM advertising, it probably does. If you are buying it, you hope it doesn't.
In the end, advertisers either are doing brand advertising or conversion advertising. If they are doing conversion advertising it's simple - identify potentially good advertising locations and figure out the comparitive ROI with a trial run. If you are doing brand advertising, you can base your dollars on alexa or nielsen or some other marketshare stat vendor, or you can simply research the site niches yourself to determine the extent of their advertising power within the community.
Advertising has been wrought with snake oil vendors since the beginning. Nothing has changed and nothing ever will. Like anything else - if a deal is too good to be true, it probably is. And just because a deal is priced in congruency with the rest of the market doesn't mean that you can accept it at face value. PR firms don't just exist to put out a public image, they exist because they are supposed to understand the advertising marketplace better than most people would ever care to.
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I have opted to price my ads based on 'unique viewers' in a month regardless of page views etc. Its people my advertisers want to sell to so its people I should count.
I use Google Analytics (formally Urchin) and because it relies on javascript I avoid having to filter out spiders since they don't run the scripts. I would imagine that it is the same for these traffic inflating malwa
purchases are what matter (Score:1)
purchases are all that matter. if i ever find an easy way to link purchases directly to advertisments i'm selling the idea to google and retiring.
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possible idea (Score:2, Interesting)
Dont under estimate the abusers (Score:2)
And they after, script kiddies all over the world install on their zombie-nets a new function that send bogus report against concurrent companies.
Ever heard of the word "joe-job" ?
Easy (Score:3, Funny)
Just do what TV studios do - pretend that the numbers are real.
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Hey, the same strategy the RIAA and other IAA's are using!
Party over. (Score:3, Insightful)
Advertisers are parasites that manage to hook into both ends of the food chain. They suck producers dry under the false pretence of bringing consumers to them; and they suck consumers dry by inflating the prices of goods (to pay for the adverts that they are ignoring).
We have now reached a saturation point: there is literally nowhere left for the advertising industry to plaster their garish advertisements. Everywhere you look, there's a f***ing advertising hoarding. Then they got clever and used "time-domain multiplexing" -- revolving hoardings that can fit three posters into the space of one! People wander round in clothes made in third-world sweatshops, that boldly display the manufacturer's name; yet they actually paid good money to do that. (Unless they bought the better-quality counterfeits, and the real manufacturer still gets the benefit of advertising either way.) The only watchable TV channels -- unless you've got Sky Plus -- are from the BBC. And don't think you can get away from it in the cinema. First they advertised before the movie. Then they advertised the tie-in merchandise for weeks after the movie. Nowadays the whole movie is one long advert!
When the advertising industry is dead, there'll be one MOTHER of a queue to dance on its grave.
Re:Party over. (Score:5, Insightful)
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Whereas before you had maybe 3 or 4 shops to try, all charging the same basically because they could, I can now go online and select from thousands of retailers.. find the cheapest/best price and buy online.
That's why often the web stores of major shops charge 25-50% less than the physical shops - because they can't get away with the local price cartels any more.
If a retailer rips *anyone* off anyone can find ou
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"Reasonable" knowlege was previous obtainable by non-specialist hobbiest before but it's getting harder. Perfect knowledge is not "nearly" attainable. While I know to check tomshardware and arstechnica about info on video cards, Joe Clueless would just type in "video card" into google and get inundated with junk sales sites. If I wanted to buy a good phone I dont' know where to check. I'd have to survey my frien
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(Yeah, I know about real 'level playing fields', opportunity, access, etc. I'm using the term in the same way it was presented to the public back then; the "let us do X because we don't think Y is fair!" sense...)
Yes, advertising does "create value". In theory, it does it by affording companies the opportunity to inform consumers of the
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Advertising increases the cost of the products that are advertised. It may or may not result in more purchases. If it does not result in more purchases, or the increased revenue from purchases fails to offset the advertising costs (and it's a very fine line between economy of sca
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Different payment methods have different costs as does online and in-person transactions.
Checks and credit cards have the potential to bounce or be charged back. Cash has the potential to be stolen. Surely if something costs the supplier different amounts they can charge the customer different amounts without being branded "shonky"?
Coca Cola branded soda costs more than unbranded stuff at the supermarket because they cost the supermarket different amounts in to buy th
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The store doesn't give a stuff how much you actuall
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Well said. 'tis a shame that Economics 101 and 201 are not required courses in school, and specifically tested in order to graduate. If they were, our laws (particularly our monetary and fiscal policies) would probably be vastly more rational.
Ditto for the laws of physics: as they are doing with economics, most people are faking their understanding of it.
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http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=PG&annual [yahoo.com]
They have operating expenses of $22 billion on revenues of $68 billion. Assuming they only spend money on advertising, it accounts for ~32% of their wholesale. Retail markup is usually bigger than that, and they aren't spending $22 billion on advertising, they spend somewhere less than $10 billion on advertising, which is ~14% of wholesale, but Tide isn't exactly expensive.
It's a bit o
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Important to remember is that the numbers you are using estimates the business cost for advertising, which is completly different from the society cost.
First of all, the 14% you estimated is larger than the real cost to society, because a part of it is simple money transfers. This is best seen in TV Ads where the majority of money goes to pay for the construction of tv shows and not to pay for
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http://www.brandweek.com/bw/news/financial/article _display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1001615315 [brandweek.com]
Global GDP is ~$60 trillion:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_ GDP_(PPP) [wikipedia.org]
So less than 2% of productive activity is devoted to advertising, worldwide, whereas in the US, something like 3% of GDP(assuming $400 billion advertising and $12 trillion GDP) is devoted to advertising. As you point out, so
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Advertising's sole value is supposedly that it provides information to consumers, but in reality, it is the poorest form of information possible. Every advertiser has incentive to deceive as much as possible to promote their own products over those of their competitors. Every advertiser has incentive to use all known knowledge of the human mind to manipulate people into purchasing the product. Humans are not perfectly protected little balls of free will - they will respond to kno
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The Emperor Has No Clothes (Score:1)
You can go about your business, move along...move along.
How? (Score:3, Funny)
How about a "rate the ad" system? (Score:4, Interesting)
How about a way to "rate" ads. Was this ad helpful? Did it provide information you actually wanted (I know, I know, but those things DO exist. But then, I also believe in the yeti)? Was it intrusive? Or downright nasty and obnoxious?
I'm pretty sure the advertising industry (the industry doing advertising, that is, not necessarily the industry that makes the ads) would be very interested in that information.
And as a nice side effect you get an immediate feedback about popup-abuse. Because they would most certainly be tagged "obnoxious", no matter how good the ad itself may be.
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I really wish the was a way to give some feed back on some of the ads I've seen. Like the annoying flyover ads on some pages, or the ones with annoying sounds. One time I was visiting a web comic page and the banner ad had a fish flopping around. Well fish normally don't make much noise but this little bastard wouldn't shut up! He was just flopping around babbling his stupid head off. I got so annoyed with it I dug through the page s
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Sure, annoying ads are a practice by advertisers. An annoying ad simply "sticks". Or so they say. You remember the ad. Some people might even remember the product, because it was SO annoying.
But the person hosting the page is now in a problem: You will NEVER EVER see an ad on his page again! The ad he ran was SO annoying that you deliberately went out of your way and took the burden of sifting through the source onto you because the ad was so obnoxious and intrusive tha
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Advertising is simply strange. Great ads from the consumers POV often have little to do with the effectiveness of the ad to generate revenue for the company. Back with the Suzuki lying car ads or whatever they were, they were percieved as great ads. Everybody loved them, but they simply didn't sell many cars.
Take the "greatest ad of all time". The Apple 1984 SuperBowl commercial. We still talk about it al
Another trick (Score:2)
The trick: The Megaupload toolbar [megaupload.com] integrates the Alexa toolbar, which is the source of the traffic data used for the Alexa rankings.
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they also host p0rn which more mainstream sites won't touch.
fraudsters want this as a service (Score:1)
It's fraud. It's against the computer fraud and abuse act.
A video bubble ? (Score:3, Informative)
It is my feeling that this is a weakness of the entire statistically based advertising and ranking model, which looks at the actions of computers and tries to infer the intent of their owners. Using spyware to bring people to your site will piss them off, and they likely won't stick around, but if all you want to do is to artifically inflate your traffic statistics so that you can do a quick sale, what do you care ? This is beginning to remind me of the dot-com days...
Money (Score:3, Insightful)
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If they even purchase these items online, it will likely be a completely separate transaction from their visit to HR, yet they may have decided to go with that company as a result of the ad at homestar runner.
So how would you determine the value o
You can't (Score:2)
You can't. So give up, stop bombarding us with ads for useless things we don't need, go outside and get some sunshine. Do something useful for humanity instead of dragging us all down.
Dear Advertizing Customers, (Score:2)
Welcome to being a consumer. It's kind of like being one of your customers.
Not everything has a solution - for a reason (Score:2)
You don't - You don't even try. You clear your pointy little head, take the hint and work on another model...simple.
Don't pay for traffic, pay for time (Score:1)
One organization attempting to answer this question is the advertising service Project Wonderful [projectwonderful.com]. In their model, you buy slots of time when your ad will be displayed on a given site via a continuous, rolling auction. Traffic, cost per click, cost per impression - all those traditional metrics are pretty much removed from the equation. The value of an hours-worth of impressions on a given site is decided dynamically and re-evaluated co
Ads, the false counts and the impact (Score:2)
All of the new start up video sites are doing this. Bolt, Heavy and the sites from Purevideo are or were all in the top 10 in terms of streams"viewers". They use this to try to get advertising and better rates. They use this to ra
little truth ... (Score:2)
Suppose slashdot was running into cash problems. If the service was actually of any value people would pay to support it. If subscribers don't meet the budget they'd have to scale back or fold.
Point is. You don't need advertising revenue to run a website. you need to provide a service people want to spend money on. Just LIKE ANY OTHER BUSINESS.
Tom
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But few people will pay $20 a month (or whatever) for every web site they visit. It would have to be more like $0.001 per page, which is far more difficult to collect.
With micropayments you also run into the problem of having to continually ask the user whether or not they want to pay for a page. If your page that I want to visit includes a frame pointing to www.g
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And you don't need to CHARGE micropayments, you just account for them. E.g. I give you $20 and it's good for [say] 2000 page views. Sure each page only costs me a cent, but you're not actually do
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Tom
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So every time I go to www.halfassedlittlesite.com I have to give them $20 up front to pay for viewing 2000 pages when all I really want to read is one page that was linked from some other site?
"Sure each page only costs me a cent"
'Only a cent'? How many people are going to pay one cent for every page they view? Including reloads and stepping back and forwards I probably view th
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Nor, of course, can you prevent people from saving the page and sending it to other people who don't pay. The whole idea of paying for sites in this way is just broken.
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First off, if the site can't make it's case for getting you to pay them, why would you pay them? So no, you wouldn't give $20 to every random site you hit.
Do you, buy everything you see in a store? No? Didn't think so.
As for the price, well how about this, it's one cent [or whatever] to buy a page of content [e.g. a news article]. Reloads/etc being free since most users wouldn't reload the page 1000s of times anyways.
Whatever, point is not every sit
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So if someone links to a site from Slashdot, no-one's going to read it because the site will expect you to pay them $20 up front for 2000 page views that you're never going to use?
"Do you, buy everything you see in a store? No? Didn't think so."
Stores don't expect me to give them $2000 and then take my purchases out of that downpayment. And in a store, I don't have to buy things before I see them. Nor are there
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I suggest you read up how AP and Reuters works. Do you pay $20 for each article in a printed newspaper?
Christ almighty you can't be this stupid. Honestly.
Tom
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Who cares? (Score:2)
Yes, I know. Many sites live off adverts, and yes, we can block most advertisements.
But I have a deep hatred of adverts. I really loathe being treated like an idiot, which is exactly what these ads are doing. They're the primary reason that I do not own a TV, don't listen to radio, always keep 'AdBlock Plus' up to date.
Ads can die for all I care.
But you DO care! (Score:2)
Google and podcast ads are slightly better in that respect than attention-hogging, scarce-commodity-(my time)-hogging ads which detract from content.
They're easily SKIPPABLE but being persistent, they can be be individually replayed WHEN YOU WANT THEM and stay segregated and "out of your
Sales (Score:2)
What ads on the web? (Score:1)
How is that different from anything else? (Score:5, Informative)
end of the world in 3... 2... 1.... (Score:1)
Its not a bad thing for the advertising industry.. (Score:1)
Reality is not as important as hype in this arena, I'm sure keeping accurate statistics aren't either in terms of potentially hitting it big with a stock-heavy (only) buyout.
CPL/CPA (Score:1)
Follow the money - (Score:2)
The beneficiaries of the fraud are most likely the cause of the fraud
Stop rewarding them / cut them off - i.e. add a section to the contract that stops payment to companies who engage in this kind of scam
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