The Real Impact of the Estonian Cyberattack 172
An anonymous reader writes "News.com offers up an interview with Arbor Networks' senior security researcher Jose Nazario. He takes stock of the denial-of-service attack against the Baltic nation of Estonia, and considers the somewhat disturbing wider implications from the event. 'You look around the globe, and there's basically no limit to the amount of skirmishes between well-connected countries that could get incredibly emotional for the population at large. In this case, it has disrupted the Estonian government's ability to work online, it has disrupted a lot of its resources and attention. In that respect, it's been effective. It hasn't brought the government to a crippling halt, but has essentially been effective as a protest tool. People will probably look at this and say, That works. I think we're going to continue to do this kind of thing. Depending on the target within the government, it could be very visible, or it could not be very visible.'"
Re:Backbone QOS? (Score:5, Insightful)
Possible Outcomes (Score:4, Insightful)
that's the biggest problem with this warfare (Score:4, Insightful)
however, things are too nebulous on the web. no accountability. the russians that attacked estonia can not be found by russia and suppressed easily, because no one knows who they are. well, obviously there can be some intelligent detective work done (who purchased the botnets for rent, for example), but my point is, any group of teenage assholes can do this sort of thing, from any botnet in the world, and so it renders obvious lines of accountability all nebulous and unresolved
and so it is sort of like terrorism, in that there is no one easy and big to blame. no state or governmental entity. it's vague and undefined. and in the end, therefore, these sorts of wars/ crimes are really the defining characteristic of conflicts in the 21st century. for the most part, wars of nation against nation and obvious straightforward battlefields seem to be a dead era. today's conflicts are all about shadowy organizations ready to do nefarious things in the name of nebulous agendas, and finding and stopping who or what or how is simply a task without any clear goals or clear yardsticks of progress
some people would use this fact to say that therefore there is no war or conflict at all, that say, the "war on terrorism" isn't real. no, wrong. the threat is still very real. something like 9/11 is not a phantasm of a neocon's imagination
it's just that the enemy is opaque and made of fog. but because the enemy is hard to pin down, does not mean there isn't nefarious intent out there you need to protect yourself from. yes, that vagueness can be used to amp up fear and provoke overreaction. but, in a way, doing nothing is still worse than overreaction (unless overreaction consists of taking the war to targets that should not be targets)
we live in a difficult era folks. do nothing, you're damned. do something, you can be damned worse. you need to be clever and constant and precise in your efforts, and you'll still screw up and get blowback anyways, and you must still soldier on nonplussed nonetheless, against cyberenemies, against terrorism, with no real yardstick of progress, with no real verification of success or failure, with nothing but the fog for miles and for years, and then a plane in a skyscraper, or a bomb in a disco, or a flood of emails, or a DoS for seemingly no rhyme or reason... and then gone again like a fart in the wind, until the next mass murder. it's psychologically debilitating, and yet constitution and fortitude are your best character qualities needed in order to beat back these shadowy enemies
Government-orchestrated? Please (Score:3, Insightful)
Estonia (and some mass media) simply find it useful to blame everything on Russian government now. Russian companies refuse to buy their products because customers stopped buying them? Blame Kremlin. If a giant meteor were to strike the capital right now, there'd be a couple of experts saying that "Nobody can prove it wasn't a covert Kremlin operation".
Of course you also have to think about it from the other point of view. If there was a symbol for all US soldiers that died in combat, that marked their graves in another country, and that country would then decided to just move it somewhere else, because they want to put a highway on top of that last resting place... Would Americans grin and bear it? No? Loud screams from politicians asking for sanctions? Regular people doing everything they can to protest it? Net bot herders making statement and then bragging about "squashing the embassy N servers" between themselves?
Would the US government have to encourage people to do it?
Now tell me, what's the difference?
I would think the more important thing would be Pentagon's readiness to bomb the source of cyberattacks [networkworld.com], which means that a group of bot herders can decide which country Pentagon will be bombing next.
Re:Russia - cybercrime capital of the world (Score:5, Insightful)
According to the site [arbor.net] mentioned in the article, Russia comes in at #17 in the attacks by country breakdown at the bottom of the page. It covers scanning, fingerprinted attacks, and DDoS attacks (no spam). The number 1 country is the good 'ole USA. We're #1! We're #1!
Re:Multicast theories (Score:3, Insightful)
I mean think about it, one of the things a party at war always tries to do is get the civilians of the opposite side reading "subversive" material. One of the first things we did with airplanes in war was pamphleting. We still attach pamphlets with aid drops. Would it be so strange to see the US send email to every Chinese address that looked like this [wikipedia.org]? How about a flood of anti-communist text messages? Doesn't seem very far fetched to me.
Re:Internet Death Sentence (Score:3, Insightful)
I don't think that stopping routing from a country would make much practical difference. There are millions of vulnerable and already compromised Windows boxes scattered across the world. You can rent time on them from a Web interface. A big part of the usefulness of DDoS attacks is it is easy to make it impossible to attach them to an individual or country since the actual traffic comes from all countries. Most of the compromised machines known to be attacking as part of a botnet are within the US.
Re:Possible Outcomes (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Government-orchestrated and encouraged (Score:3, Insightful)
Remember an incident with US spy plane and Chinese fighter jet [wikipedia.org] ?
It resulted into a hacking contest [bbc.co.uk] between US and China without any "official" guidance.
In case of Estonia an asshole named Anders (Estonian leader - my sincerest apologies to all other assholes for the comparison) referred to buried WWII veterans as "marauders" on public TV, before trying to move the statue. Quite obviously, people got pissed off. Some teenagers wrote graffiti on the streets in Tallin, others threw eggs onto police cars. The more nerdy ones arranged DDOS attacks. Blaming this on Russian government is is kinda like like saying that Tony Blair is responsible for soccer fans fighting each other.
The only real question here is why the hell Estonian government doesn't have a dedicated network outside of Internet.
Re:Possible Outcomes (Score:4, Insightful)