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IPv4 Unallocated Addresses Exhausted by 2010
Posted by
CowboyNeal
on Thu May 24, 2007 08:25 PM
from the no-room-to-grow dept.
from the no-room-to-grow dept.
An anonymous reader writes "Ars Technica is reporting on how the unallocated IPv4 address pool could run out as soon as 2010. The IPv4 Address Report gives details on just how fast the available pool of IPv4 addresses is diminishing. Will ISPs be moving towards IPv6 any time soon? Or will IPv4 exhaustion become the next Y2K?"
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Technology: Comcast To Bring IPv6 To Residential US In 2010 281 comments
darthcamaro writes "We all know that IPv4 address space is almost gone — but we also know that no major US carrier has yet migrated its consumer base, either. Comcast is now upping the ante a bit and has now said that they are seriously gearing up for IPv6 residential broadband deployment soon. 'Comcast plans to enter into broadband IPv6 technical trials later this year and into 2010,' Barry Tishgart, VP of Internet Services for Comcast said. 'Planning for general deployment is underway.'"
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From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:5, Interesting)
Is IPv6 so unappealing that they've gotta bribe people with pr0n to use it?
Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:5, Funny)
Parent
No, it was about Music Piracy! (Score:5, Interesting)
But if you talked to @Home's people as individuals rather than Corporate Employees, almost all of them would say "Well, Duh! Napster is the reason that people are *buying* broadband internet connections, of *course* we like it."
And, ok, the paranoia about servers on home cable modems was partly because their early trial equipment didn't work very well and they had no way to regulate individual upstream bandwidth usage, and PacBell's dishonest "Cable Modem Web Hog" ads made them really worried about perceptions of slow performance, but they were worried that somebody would run a pr0n webserver from home, become Cool Site of the Day because doing that on cable modem would be cool, and trash their neighborhood's network performance while causing a lot of publicity. And unfortunately most of the cable companies have not only not recovered from that attitude, they've been propagating it to the DSL providers, and they've been learning other cluelessly paranoid attitudes from the Australian ex-monopoly who thinks you should cap the total monthly download of their users (since that used to be expensive in Oz), and cap it to a ridiculously low level like 1GB/month, which is like 1.5 days of continuous 56kbps usage.
But when I had my corporate hat on, especially if I was talking to non-California customers, it was certainly much more proper to talk about the big internet usage being for music piracy than for pr0n
Parent
Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:4, Insightful)
With one of the bigger 'features' of IPv6 being the possibility of assigning and tracking users individually with the huge number of addresses - I suspect it does not play into the current (sorta) anonymous surfing mindset folks have today. (Not that anyone is truly anonymous on the web) Once you have to slap down your address to access the content, I can see why people might not be interested.
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Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:5, Interesting)
IPv6 doesn't force you to give up any privacy, and there's no 'user serialization' unless you buy into it voluntarily.
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Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:4, Insightful)
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Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:4, Insightful)
With v4, your router gets the address and then NATs it out to however-many devices you have. With v6, you'd get a block of addresses at the router, which it could then distribute via DHCP, or the machines could randomly assign themselves within. You're not losing anything there. Where you might gain something is in the ability to quickly switch IPs when traveling and connecting to an AP that's not yours (which is conceptually similar to performing a DHCP release-and-renew).
If you want plausible deniability, pretty much your only option is to leave your AP unsecured and hope that when the cops show up they buy it as a defense, or use some type of onion routing like Tor.
There seems to be a lot of fear and paranoia going around regarding IPv6, and I just don't get it. There's nothing you can do on IPv4 today that you can't do on IPv6, if you want to. Hell, if you're that attached to NAT, you can do it with IPv6 addresses just as readily -- it's just that it's stupid, because there's no longer any reason to since there's no address shortage, and there's really no privacy or security gained from it that you don't get by just rotating your IPv6 address.
Parent
Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:5, Insightful)
If one were to build a proper ipv6 router, they would need to (pony up the cash to) include a proper firewall, or educate the users. Good luck with either one.
Parent
Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:5, Informative)
Now, I think this is a completely crappy way to run a network, and I think we just need to get rid of the idea of firewalls completely (at least as a generic cureall, I'm all for retaining them for specific applications); security needs to be at the client level, not at the network-gateway level; as more and more devices become mobile, they cannot and should not ever assume that their local network is secure.
But unfortunately, people have gotten so used to the idea of firewalls that they're attached to them, particularly because it allows for a certain amount of laziness (running old, crummy operating systems on Internet-enabled systems, not patching, etc.) while giving the perception of safety. So I suspect that all IPv6 implementations will mimic the brokenness of NAT, at least initially.
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Re:IPv6 can give out your hardware MAC address als (Score:5, Informative)
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Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:4, Informative)
IPv6 doesn't force you to give up any privacy, and there's no 'user serialization' unless you buy into it voluntarily.
BUT: The whole
To illustrate my example, there's a IPv6 ISP in Germany that gives out even a
If we're not counting accountability, but just usage tracking on websites etc, easy: just don't treat every Ip address as unique (like in IPv4), but instead every
Parent
Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:5, Informative)
There are two issues:
- Switching protocols
- Getting IPv6 addresses
You can use the IPv4 subset of the IPv6 address space, and everyone can still talk to everyone while you convert. It's only the folks that have IPV6 addresses before the IPv4 users have migrated that become unreachable by anyone.So the online businesses are going to want to be the last ones to switch, so that their customers don't become unable to reach them.
But anyway, IPV6 gives you access to all the same content.
Parent
Re: From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:5, Informative)
In fact, if IPv4 truly were a subspace of IPv6, then what sources address would an IPv4-only host be seeing when it receives such a packet from an IPv6-only host?
It is perfectly possible to use both an IPv4 and an IPv6 stack simultaneously, and there are some NAT-like technologies that run on a router to give IPv4 connectivity to IPv6-only hosts, but you'll still need an IPv4 stack somewhere on your network to access IPv4 content.
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Re:From TFA: free pr0n! (Score:5, Insightful)
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it's tghe next Y2k (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:it's tghe next Y2k (Score:5, Funny)
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Re:it's tghe next Y2k (Score:5, Funny)
We've been in various stages of Imminent Death of the Net Predicted [catb.org] for at least 25 years. Y2K was merely the last version, and running out of IPv4 is merely the current version.
Just wait until we abandon CSS in order to ensure that an entire page can be rendered by through a single TCP/IPv6 connection. Domain names with vowels! HTML with serifed fonts! Imminent Death of Web 2.0 predicted!
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Re:it's tghe next Y2k (Score:5, Informative)
Well, it would have run out a lot faster, had it not been for CIDR [wikipedia.org], which allowed addresses to be allocated more efficiently. However that -- like proposals to re-allocate unused space in some of the old corporate A-blocks -- slowed the bleeding but doesn't really do anything about the real problem.
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Re:it's tghe next Y2k (Score:5, Insightful)
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everything is going to be ok (Score:5, Funny)
Worse than Y2K (Score:4, Insightful)
It will be expensive to make a major shift to IPv6, which is why it's taking so long.
Until the complete exhaustion of all IPv4 addresses is an immanent threat the change will not happen, much like Y2K.
Re:Worse than Y2K (Score:5, Informative)
My home network sits behind a Cisco 2621 running an IPv6 IOS image- and I have a
I even set up an IPSEC / GRE tunnel with a friend of mine along with mBGP (multiprotocol BGP). No problems. I set up route-maps and filters all without a problem. My friend and I were then able to get to each others Unix servers via ssh over IPv6 using hostnames that resolved via AAAA records.
I also run OSPFv3 internally- again without incident. Deploying IPv6 to my network took a grand total of an hour- and we're talking about BGP, OSPF, GRE IPSEC tunnels and so on.
In fact- the change was so easy I immediately began a project to upgrade my company to IPv6. So far it has been incredibly easily and completely transparent to everyone.
What's holding IPv6 back is two things: public perception that the change will be difficult (completely unfounded) and the unwillingness of anyone to just start deploying it. I have SpeakEasy for my home connection (business class SDSL with a
-sirket
Senior Network Engineer for a company you've definitely heard of
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Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:5, Interesting)
Class A blocks were one of the benefits of being a Internet pioneer. Why should they give them up?
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Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:5, Interesting)
Disclaimer: I've worked with ARIN to get/manage/return blocks of IPs for years.
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Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:4, Insightful)
companies that totally don't need them would be companies like:
Ford
Boeing
GE
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Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:5, Interesting)
Even as someone who doesn't think of Microsoft as an Internet pioneer, I'd rather MS owns this block than Halliburton.
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Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:5, Interesting)
Don't complain about Apple. HP has all of 15.x.x.x and all of 16.x.x.x, because they purchased DEC who also had a class-A.
Interestingly, HP is the only company that effectively has a
Parent
Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:5, Informative)
Department of Defense Network Information Center 21.0.0.0 - 22.255.255.255
That's a...
Department of Defense Network Information Center 6.0.0.0 - 7.255.255.255
Department of Defense Network Information Center 11.0.0.0 - 11.255.255.255
Department of Defense Network Information Center 21.0.0.0 - 22.255.255.255
Department of Defense Network Information Center 26.0.0.0 - 26.255.255.255
Department of Defense Network Information Center 28.0.0.0 - 30.255.255.255
Department of Defense Network Information Center 33.0.0.0 - 33.255.255.255
Department of Defense Network Information Center 55.0.0.0 - 55.255.255.255
So that's... about 330 MILLION IP addresses for the US DoD alone? And people bitch about MIT hoarding!
Parent
In case they start embargoin' our IPs, see... (Score:4, Funny)
Parent
Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:4, Interesting)
Parent
Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:5, Interesting)
This is why MIT, Apple, DEC, IBM, and lots of other big companies were given Class A's. It wasn't just a "thanks for playing" reward, it was because the original design for the IP system required Class A blocks if you wanted to run big networks: if you had a big organization, you needed a Class A, in order to do multiple levels of subnetting.
When you look at the IP allocations and see GE or DEC's Class A blocks, it seems ridiculous. But you have to understand that when those allocations were made, what they were looking at was less the number of actual host IPs in the block (which is what we care about now) but the number of Class B and C subnet blocks that were inside. Put yourself in the shoes of someone at a big company like IBM or GE, with lots of regional offices. Each region/office needs to have a network, with its own subnets (for each department or whatever). That's how they were laying things out. "IBM" as an organization gets a Class A. Each regional office or some other division, Class B. Each network or further subdivision, Class C. Yeah, you end up with a lot of wasted capacity, but this whole scheme was designed back when a "host" was a PDP or VAX; there just weren't enough of them for it to seem like a major issue.
The problem people sometimes refer to when they talk about "the last time we were running out of IPs" (back in the early 90s) wasn't really a shortage of IPs at all (well, at least not immediately, although people were definitely realizing it was going to be a problem), it was a shortage of Class B and C subnet blocks. (Particularly Class B's, since that's what medium-size businesses and
So that's when CIDR was introduced, and it ended the whole 'Classed Network' concept (A, B, and C classes) and replaced it with the now-familiar bitwise/subnet-mask format. (E.g., IBM's Class A block is 9.0.0.0/8, Apple's is 17.0.0.0/8, etc.) This, along with prefix aggregation, allowed more efficient address allocation, and kept the routing tables from growing out of control. Now that you can subnet at the bit level, rather than at the Class level, those A Blocks seem huge. But keep in mind that before CIDR, each of those A Blocks was looked at, not as 16M hosts, but as 254 subnetworks.
It's only in retrospect, with the help of a bunch of new technologies, that the allocations made back in the Internet's early years look ridiculous.
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Re:Reshuffle existing IPv4 space (Score:5, Insightful)
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VoIp Everything (Score:5, Insightful)
IPv4 addresses are going to be going away very quickly.
Re:VoIp Everything (Score:4, Funny)
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Re:VoIp Everything (Score:4, Informative)
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Whew! (Score:5, Funny)
Hey! (Score:5, Funny)
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Re:Hey! (Score:5, Funny)
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Re:Whew! (Score:5, Funny)
That's the same IP address I've got on my luggage!
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Re:Whew! (Score:5, Funny)
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Carbon Credits (Score:4, Insightful)
Companies may cut down unnecessary IP usage, or buy/rent addresses from other companies with plenty to spare.
This 'trade' could go on until such point it's either more costly to rent than move to IPv6, or when all available-and-necessary addresses have been fully utilized.
They will move when they have to (Score:5, Insightful)
ISPs won't care (Score:5, Insightful)
Heck, it's already happening in other countries. In Chile for example (a reasonably high-tech country) VTR http://www.vtr.cl/ [www.vtr.cl], the only cable ISP, will give you ONLY RFC-1918 addresses, period.
The masses won't care. They only care about their basic apps, and ISPs will use that as leverage to control more services, especially all P2P and VoIP-related ones.
Let's just NAT (Score:5, Funny)
Start preparing your resume... (Score:4, Insightful)
Hopefully it *is* the new Y2K.
IPv6 is already here. Been here for awhile (Score:5, Interesting)
The advantage comes when you consider management. In order to have 20 SSH/FTP/etc accessible Internet servers, I'd either need 20 separate IPv4 addresses (getting a decent segment of a class C here is expensive), or I'd have to play fun games with ports. All our technicians have IPv6 on their laptops, and use tunnel brokers for access to the v6 network.
Most of our clients have IPv6 connectivity, though they don't notice it. When we put in a firewall, IPv6 comes default setup with tunnel brokers.
People keep asking, when's there gonna be v6 content? There is no v6 content (ok, their is full colour ascii starwars). Any content provider would be nuts to say "you have to have v6 to see our content" at this point (with the exception of mobile phones). IT Techs brought v4 to the public, we'll bring v6 to the public. Its technicians like myself who appreciate having an Internet accessible toaster (ok, so its not yet accessible) that have already started the ball rolling.
Before long you'll see hosting providers saying, you can have one web gateway shared v4 address and a
So in a back alley in the future (Score:4, Funny)
Easy way to speed IPv6 Adoption (Score:5, Interesting)
auction! (Score:5, Insightful)