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Information Overload Predicted Problem of the Year for 2008

Posted by ScuttleMonkey on Wed Dec 26, 2007 04:47 PM
from the nagging-inboxes dept.
Wired is reporting that information overload is being predicted by some analysts as the problem of the year for 2008. "'It's too much information. It's too many interruptions. It's too much lost time,' Basex chief analyst Jonathan Spira declared. 'It's always too much of a good thing.' Information overload isn't exactly new, but Spira said the problem has grown as technology increases societal expectations for instantaneous response. And more information available, he said, also means more time wasted looking for the right information, whether in an old e-mail or through a search engine."
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  • by User 956 (568564) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @04:49PM (#21824608) Homepage
    Information Overload Predicted Problem of the Year for 2008

    Correction: Information Overlord Predicted Problem of the Year for 2008.
    • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

      by Anonymous Coward
      Correction: Information Overlord Predicted Problem of the Year for 2008.

      Correction to the correction: Information Overlord Overload Predicted Problem of the Year for 2008.

      I've been saying for years that we need to stop spawning more overlords, but would you people listen? Of course not.
  • by gurps_npc (621217) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @04:49PM (#21824610)
    I mean really. My email is overflowing, but a search finds stuff right away.
    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by ILuvRamen (1026668)
      I think they're talking about how we're not gonna be able to handle sitting on our butts eating ramen and reading 6 e-mails instead of 3. I know I get pretty frazzled when that happens cuz then it's just anohter 3 minutes between me and Oblivion (the game) Seriously, if we're not infomation overloaded already with the insane amount of advertising everywhere plus the level of technology currently available then we're not going to be. If you don't want stock updates stalking you on your mobile phone, don't
    • Yes it is instant but does it find the right one. Now I've noticed (IMO) Google has gotten better lately, but often if you are searching certain topics it is very painful to find one that is really what you were looking for.

      And back to the original topic of email... If you had hundreds or even thousands of emails back and forth between the same people over again with the same subject or similar subjects over the course of a year, it makes it hard to search for one in particular since searching by subject or
    • by Moraelin (679338) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @07:09PM (#21825620) Journal
      Search finds the right stuff, if you remember the exact wording. Now look through 1 year old emails, looking for one where you only vaguely remember even the topic. Like, "I think the boss told me to do it that way."

      Let's see, a search for the program name... nope. He must have thought it's obvious what project I'm on. Let's detour through Bugzilla and look up the bug number. Some time later, ah-ha, I have the bug number. Search for that, nope. Repeat ad nauseam.

      The problem is that even remembering something by a synonym, still throws simple search off. Completely. Now let's see, in how many ways can you say "bug". Well, there's "bug", but then there's "flaw", or "defect", or even "problem", etc. So did the boss say it's ok to ship with known "bug", "flaws", "defects", "problems", or what? Now have fun finding out which of the tens of hits for "bug" is really the one you're looking for. But maybe even that wasn't phrased like that at all. Maybe what he said is something like, "it's ok if the web service interface isn't ready in the pilot phase." Or a gazillion other wordings to the same effect.

      Or maybe it was my favourite, some idiot took a screenshot of the log viewer and pasted it into Word as an image. Then you get an email with the actual info as a picture, and some text like "but I think that's low priority right now". Now search that.

      Really, the problem is that we still index and search by words, but your memory is rarely text-file quality. You remember ideas, and (if needed) your brain interpolates the gaps.

      E.g., you may think you photographically remember your wife in her blue dress on the balcony in your honeymoon, but really you don't store a pixel array like that. The actual pixel array never even leaves the eyes, there's edge detection and contrast enhancement that's built right into the retina itself, to save bandwidth on the optic nerve. Then before it even makes it past the short term buffer, that scene is pruned, tokenized, etc, and you only really got an internal representation of the scene instead of the actual image. That's already missing a lot of information, like, for a start, everything that's outside the focus of attention. (While focusing on the blonde with great tits at the wheel, you completely lose such information as the license plate or even the pink gorilla doing cartwheels across the road.) You have a SEP field built-in, so to speak.

      Then over time details or links get lost, and your brain just does a best-guess filling in the gaps. So over time you might remember that the wife's dress was blue, although it was green. Or maybe she wasn't wearing a dress at all on that day, and was in a t-shirt and jeans. Etc.

      That goes double for remembering text. You rarely remember the actual text, unless you do rote memorization. But I'd rather not do that with all emails. If you had to actually remember the exact text describing the scene above, even if you remember the general scene, how many ways are there to say that she was wearing jeans? "Pants" works too, for a start. The shirt gets even funnier, because you might just remember it as a "shirt" instead of "t-shirt", and from there there are even more synonyms. "Blouse" and "top" come to mind, for example.

      And that's when word-based search will fail you.

      What we'd need is some search that's indexed by ideas. But until computers start to really understand natural language, we're kinda screwed. And I mean, understand what it _means_, not just parse English.
  • by smitty_one_each (243267) * on Wednesday December 26 2007, @04:49PM (#21824612) Homepage Journal
    But the answer was revealed recently over on
    Why the Coming Data Flood Won't Drown the Internet:
    http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=392492&cid=21737872 [slashdot.org]
  • by yagu (721525) * <yayagu@gmail.cSLACKWAREom minus distro> on Wednesday December 26 2007, @04:49PM (#21824614) Journal

    This problem isn't necessarily an overload of information. It's just a transformation. From the article:

    Workers get disoriented every time they stop what they are doing to reply to an e-mail or answer a follow-up phone call because they didn't reply within minutes. Spira said workers can spend 10 to 20 times the length of the original interruption trying to get back on track.

    These disoriented workers just found their new diversion. Workers are mostly effective, or not effective. Effective workers long ago folded the explosion of information into their daily work flow and are mostly more efficient because of it. Ineffective workers can now use and point to e-mail as their nemesis preventing them from being efficient and getting work done.

    But, before the (alleged) explosion, ineffective workers had minesweeper and solitaire. Before that they had a water cooler and last night's shows to talk about. Before that it was real solitaire with real cards.

    Yes, the information is overwhelming, but it's mostly easy to filter. I have found anecdotally that even with the exploding amount of information, that not only is it not overwhelming, it's more topical and current than ever possible in the past, and it's actually more easily searched than in the past. If any of you out there remember the old days of writing research papers, it was far more difficult to gather all the necessary research and organize when the only option was the local library, or if you were lucky and in college with a computing center, the other option was the time-share terminals in the computing building.

    As for interruptions and avoiding them, it's easy enough to minimize e-mail interruptions -- establish and stick to an e-mail policy. If you don't want to be interrupted, don't allow people to interrupt you.

    • by fahrbot-bot (874524) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @04:58PM (#21824694)
      But, before the (alleged) explosion, ineffective workers had minesweeper and solitaire. Before that they had a water cooler and last night's shows to talk about. Before that it was real solitaire with real cards.

      Now it's /.

    • by UncleTogie (1004853) * on Wednesday December 26 2007, @05:05PM (#21824744) Homepage Journal

      Workers get disoriented every time they stop what they are doing to reply to an e-mail or answer a follow-up phone call because they didn't reply within minutes. Spira said workers can spend 10 to 20 times the length of the original interruption trying to get back on track.

      Which is why I'd recommend against hiring employees that can't focus. Really, at any moment I may have to stop in the middle of PC repair {5 PCs on bench at current}, answer questions from anyone that calls/comes in, keep documentation current on our projects, handle any urgent incoming email/faxes/requests, and even a bit of sales if our sales force is out of the shop. It can get intense at times, but is FAR from anything I'd come even close to calling "disorienting".

      If you've not a mind for the business you're in, then you're out of your mind for working in a field not suited to your abilities.

      • You mean like losing focus and post on some forum while work sits on their deask?(I believes 5 PCs at the moment)

        Of course, it doesn't take a whole lot of focus to build a PC.

        • You mean like losing focus and post on some forum while work sits on their deask?(I believes 5 PCs at the moment)

          You mean the PCs in varying states of diagnosis? The ones running diagnostics that won't run any faster if I watch the progress bar intently?

          ...and I can give a status for any of 'em while on the phone or otherwise engaged... My boss is well aware I read and post on Slashdot, but looks it as I do: learning opportunities galore.

          Of course, it doesn't take a whole lot of focus to build a PC.

          Guess you lost your focus; my OP said nothing about builds, which are presently so n00b-friendly a spastic monkey could slap one together. It said repair, which infers diagnosis

    • Looks like they thought TMI meant 'too many interuptions'.

      And yet another 'costs our economy' number. I wonder how they come up with those numbers.

    • I am not that efficient when it comes to managing influx of information. For me, I'm high with information bong day in, day out. I surf and surf, and at some point in the day I "burn out" from the influx of information. There's simply too much swirling in my head to really contemplate anything else. Internal filtering of the information is done that cuts out most of the fluff, but there's always a dozen really interesting things I'm keeping track of at once. I experience a "information hangover", simply dra
    • I think one major problem is that people over commit themselves or allow themselves to get overcommited to too much crap.
    • by Red Flayer (890720) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @06:09PM (#21825136) Journal
      Hmm. You make a valid point about effective employees, but I think you're missing something quite important.

      As a business owner or manager, one of the things you need to improve is employee effectiveness. I've managed individuals that are off-the-charts effective when uninterrupted, but easily get lost in the crush of emails. These are usually the people-pleasers. If I send them an email requesting A, B, and C, they'll deliver promptly and thoroughly. But if in the meantime they have received an email requesting D, E, and F from someone else, they run into problems because they can't deliver A through F promptly AND complete their normal workflow.

      There are a couple ways of dealing with this. One is to establish priority controls on workflow. Another is to route all requests through their manager. A third is to establish an SLA that gives the employee a better guideline for when a response is expected.

      In no way does this mean that the employee is an ineffective employee -- it just means that they are ineffective given their nature and the nature of the work presented to them.

      My point, really, is that some good employees handle the "information overload" well, and some don't. The trick is to work with your staff's strengths and weaknesses to maximize their effectiveness. Yes, there are people who truly are generally ineffective -- but that's a hiring issue. Usually ineffective employees can be made effective through competent management.
    • by Venik (915777)
      I think you lost track of the subject somewhere along the way. You started out talking about information overload and ended up talking about workers who play solitaire on their computers. Having too much work and being lazy are not always the same thing (unless you are looking from a manager's perspective).
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by Kjella (173770)

      As for interruptions and avoiding them, it's easy enough to minimize e-mail interruptions -- establish and stick to an e-mail policy. If you don't want to be interrupted, don't allow people to interrupt you.

      I find the combo attacks the worst, the kind that either send me an email and tell me "Could you look at the case I just sent over?" or just try to steal me away "Can you come over for five minutes and look at this?" and usually if you're already in the "interrupted" state everyone else see it as their chance to jump at you too. While it wouldn't really work with support hours, I've found that you need some sort of pacing - work concentrated one hour, solve various tidbits one hour, work concentrated one h

  • by Daltin (1153533) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @04:50PM (#21824624) Journal
    welcome our new information overlord. Wait, I read that wrong.
  • The year Linux finally is ready for the desktop, the internet goes and overloads!
  • by ch-chuck (9622)
    Cancel subscription to Wired, that'll take care of a large part of it.

  • At my job I quit checking voice mail and only read emails once or twice a day. Sure does piss off management but it makes my life easier.
  • by foobsr (693224) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @04:58PM (#21824698) Homepage Journal
    ... the article gives an answer:
    TFA: "also means more time wasted looking for the right information"

    If looking for the 'right information' is considered 'waste of time', how do you think 'deciding which information is appropriate', i.e. actually thinking (no outside activity to be observed, mind that) is valued?

    Much better to quickly produce a dupe of some blurb to add up to overload.

    CC.
    • Probably the intended meaning: "more time wasted while looking for the right information". The point being, presumably, that the "right information" is harder to find than before.
  • by hardburn (141468) <hardburn@wump u s -cave.net> on Wednesday December 26 2007, @05:02PM (#21824726)

    Wired Editor Attempts to Fill Whitespace

    Fixed it for you.

  • by Roxton (73137) <roxton@NoSPaM.gmail.com> on Wednesday December 26 2007, @05:08PM (#21824770) Homepage
    Modern messaging is an incredibly effective. If too many people are requesting your time, that doesn't necessarily mean it's time to change your communications medium. You may have taken on too many responsibilities.

    I find that people have a tendency to overestimate the volume of work they can handle. That said, there's definitely something to the notion that you shouldn't bother someone unless you have to. If you find yourself frequently disrupting someone's work (or find yourself frequently disrupted) out of necessity, however, then you need to reassign responsibilities, put those responsibilities on the chopping block, and/or get help.
  • by BitwizeGHC (145393) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @05:11PM (#21824788) Homepage
    Johnny Mnemonic: Yeah, the Black Shakes. What causes it?
    Spider: What causes it?
    [points to various pieces of equipment throughout the room]
    Spider: This causes it! This causes it! This causes it! Information overload! All the electronics around you poisoning the airwaves. Technological fucking civilization. But we still have all this shit, because we can't live without it. Let me do my work.
  • Wired is reporting that information overload is being predicted by some analysts as the problem of the year for 2008.

    This will be more than offset by the time-saving switch to Linux (2008, year of Linux on the Desktop!). A much bigger issue will be the distraction of playing Duke Nukem Forever. And all this is assuming the tubes of the internets don't burst from the exaflood. Lastly, all this will only be a problem until June when the Roombas take over the earth and sweep us all into neat little piles.

  • i only have one problem lately since my email is down to about nothing.

    Search engine results that are another frickin search engine or consolidation site that may or may not even have what i was looking for. Here we go round in circles...

    At least i instinctively avoid the ebay links that have whatever i searched for...even when they don't :/

    Well that and news sites that link to a blog....hint hint
    • At least i instinctively avoid the ebay links that have whatever i searched for...even when they don't :/

      Gotta love those.

      "Click HERE for your NUMBER 1 source for blue screen 0x800ccc0e!"
      "Click HERE for your NUMBER 1 source for exchange 2003 pop3 retrieval!"
      "Click HERE for your NUMBER 1 source for fetchmail!"

      Who knew you could find all that stuff in one place?

      Mercifully those sorts of results seem to be on the decline...
  • "And further, by these, my son, be admonished: of making many books there is no end; and much study is a weariness of the flesh."--Ecclesiastes 12:12
    • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

      by geekoid (135745)
      in short:
      "Don't learn to think for yourself or God will get you." Gee, people using a fictitious character in a way to prevent people from actually thinking about what they are saying.

      It had NOTHING to do with organizing or storing data in an accurate way.

      "
      9 Besides being wise, the Preacher also taught the people knowledge, weighing and studying and arranging many proverbs with great care.
      10 The Preacher sought to find words of delight, and uprightly he wrote words of truth.

      11 The words of the wise are like
    • The previous words in that quote show that the ancient book is advising us not to read:

      "The words of the wise are like goads, and like nails firmly fixed are the collected sayings; they are given by one Shepherd. My son, beware of anything beyond these. Of making many books there is no end, and much study is a weariness of the flesh." -- Ecclesiastes 11 and 12.

      I doubt that anyone who reads Slashdot wants to read only "collected sayings", and be poor because he or she has lost his job.
  • No... Wait...

    Popfile
    http://popfile.sourceforge.net/ [sourceforge.net]

    Tools like this will help get rid of corporate spam[1] as well as the normal stuff. They'll eventually evolve into general purpose artificially intelligent personal assistants which will act as a filter on almost all communication.

    [1] Crap from various management who spam the world with trivia about how they are feeling.
  • The cure for information overload [slashdot.org], if you can get past the ponies, it's a very interesting idea. (Just be sure to RTFA.)
  • Quote from the Slashdot story: "... Basex chief analyst Jonathan Spira declared."

    Quote from the Basex web site [basex.com]:

    "Basex reaches the key decision makers in the Collaborative Business Knowledge space."

    I know that many people don't speak Corporate Robot Language, so I will translate: "We are really, really bored with our jobs. We don't like technical things, or have any respect for technically knowledgeable people. However, to make ourselves seem more important, we adopt technical-sounding expressions, and pretend that they are meaningful."

    I'm guessing that the New York Times got paid for that article, and so did someone at Slashdot.

    I would love to see the "Collaborative Business Knowledge Space". I'm guessing it is about one centimeter square and is guarded by one old cockroach.
  • A guide to ensure an information overload free 2008:

    1) Don't give your manager more information than you have to. "Good morning" should be sufficient for the day. He's got a lot on his plate, and doesn't need to know that you've had no work to do for the past month.
    2) Don't tell anyone where you're going when you go for a meeting, or whom it's with. That information could be just one bit too much. In fact, don't force the admin staff to check if there's a room available. Go down the pub for the meetin
  • I remember byte magasine discussing this 15 years ago ... this is the reference that I can find quickly [stanford.edu] .
  • I already dropped 10% of my rss-feeds this week. THAT will teach them!
  • in his 'thought experiment' book, God's Debris [ucomics.com] (WARNING, PDF).

    "Humanity is developing a sort of global eyesight as millions of video cameras on satellites, desktops, and street corners are connected to the Internet. In your lifetime it will be possible to see almost anything on the planet from any computer. And society's intelligence is merging over the Internet, creating, in effect, a global mind that can do vastly more than any individual mind. Eventually everything that is known by one person will be available to all."

    I don't think that information overload will be our biggest problem, it will be the springboard to something greater. Not necessarily to the same conclusion that that Scott does, but the ability to process it all. We can create information successfully, we just haven't mastered the ability to search through it all. A problem such as too much information is the impetuous behind making sense of it all.

  • by moogied (1175879)
    More IT jobs will be created in 2008? Wow.. what a suprise. Oh. My. God. Christ almighty, does every year need to have some HUGE problem?
  • "What information consumes is rather obvious: it consumes the attention of its recipients. Hence a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention, and a need to allocate that attention efficiently among the overabundance of information sources that might consume it."

    Herbert Simon
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herbert_Simon [wikipedia.org]
  • What about runaway government spending, and the annual 1 trillion dollars spent with the American military overseas? And the fact that the US dollar doesn't stop slipping, and the US keeps borrowing money non-stop to cover its massive, quadratically increasing deficit?

    I know this is Wired and one can't expect them to focus on the real problems, but I find it completely absurd to predict "Information Overload" as 2008's biggest problem.
  • by edunbar93 (141167) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @08:45PM (#21826218)
    Here's the short version:

    Turn it off. There is an appropriate time to be reading your e-mail, responding to instant messages, and texting your boss on your blackberry. And there is an appropriate time for work. Set those times in your schedule quite strictly. During that your work time, your e-mail is not open. Your blackberry is off. MSN is closed. You can probably expect to get three to four hours of this kind of time per day. Unless something is on fire, nothing is to interrupt you, and you can focus on what you're doing and be astoundingly effective and productive.

    Once you're done, it's back to e-mail and MSN and constant interruptions. Or "team building" at the water cooler. Whatever.
  • by epine (68316) on Wednesday December 26 2007, @09:24PM (#21826440)
    What a bunch of pussies. We all know that a quick answer isn't necessarily a good answer, but maybe only 10% of us have the balls to stick to our guns, and half of us are at risk of winding up on the unemployment line, because a defective "fast food" culture has gained ascendancy in office politics, much like McDonald's in the 1970s. Only later did the masses decide that burger stamped from 1000 different bulls (to paraphrase "Supersize Me") is not good for the constitution (either personal or corporate). I was only twelve when I first tasted a green Shamrock shake, and even then my palate was sophisticated enough to conclude that petrochemicals (to give those flavour additives the benefit of the doubt) were unfit for human consumption.

    That's the present state of corporate email and IM culture: fast is good. Fast is actually crap, unless you are careful where you eat, but it will take another decade or so for backlash to recruit the unwashed. The average email response received in under 15 minutes is deep fried in hydrogenated soybean oil to a crispy golden colour. Yum, yum. Eat up and regurg, if you wish to see Santa arrive with your xmas bonus arrive in your neck of the cubical farm.

    "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who haven't got it."

    -- George Bernard Shaw
    • False link! (Score:2, Informative)

      by N3TW4LK3R (841526)
      Parent is another Minicity-link !
          • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

            by ideonode (163753)
            That's interesting - almost like a way of scoring trolls - the bigger your minicity, the bigger the jerk you happen to be. All they need now is a way to incorporate a Rickroll in there to demonstrate their douchebaggery further.